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9 results for “tourist arrivals”
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Research ArticleOpen accessPhrase in the titleModeling Tourist Arrivals Using Time Series Analysis: Evidence From AustraliaGurudeo AnandTularam, Victor Siew Howe Wong, Seyed AbdelhamidShobeiriNejadAustralian tourism has a logistic trend as Butler’s model shows. The stagnation has not been reached so opportunities exist to increase tourism. The logistic model predicts 7.2 million tourists in 2015 but time series models of ARIMA and VAR improve the prediction and explain the data. The ARIMA (2, 2, 2) fits well while the VAR lead to Granger causalities … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 8, Issue 3 · 10 Sep 2012 · 7,857 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessPhrase in the titleModeling Tourist Arrivals in Destination Countries: An Application to Australian TourismS. A.H. Shobeiri Nejad, Gurudeo Anand TularamProblem statement: Little study is evident of mathematical modeling regarding tourist arrivals in South East Queensland of Australia. In this study the Bulter conceptual destination life cycle and product life cycle frameworks are used to develop an overall determinant mathematical model of Australian tourist arrivals. The model will be calibrated using real Australian data. A more complex dynamic is also … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 6, Issue 4 · 31 Dec 2010 · 7,915 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsFuzzy Time Series: An Application to Tourism Demand ForecastingMuhammad Hisyam Lee, Maria Elena Nor, Suhartono et al.Problem statement: Forecasting is very important in many types of organizations since predictions of future events must be incorporated into the decision-making process. In the case of tourism demand, better forecast would help directors and investors make operational, tactical and strategic decisions. Besides that, government bodies need accurate tourism demand forecasts to plan required tourism infrastructures, such as accommodation site … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 9, Issue 1 · 24 Nov 2011 · 8,474 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsTime Series Forecasting by using Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average: Subset, Multiplicative or Additive ModelSuhartonoProblem statement: Most of Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models that used for forecasting seasonal time series are multiplicative SARIMA models. These models assume that there is a significant parameter as a result of multiplication between nonseasonal and seasonal parameters without testing by certain statistical test. Moreover, most popular statistical software such as MINITAB and SPSS only has facility … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 7, Issue 1 · 29 Jan 2011 · 18,295 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractTourism Equilibrium Price TrendsMohammad Mohebi, Khalid Abdul RahimProblem statement: A review of the tourism history shows that tourism as an industry was virtually unknown in Malaysia until the late 1960s. Since then, it has developed and grown into a major industry, making an important contribution to the country's economy. By allocating substantial funds to the promotion of tourism and the provision of the necessary infrastructure, the government … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 9, Issue 4 · 7 Feb 2012 · 6,982 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractA Hybrid Approach based on Winter's Model and Weighted Fuzzy Time Series for Forecasting Trend and Seasonal DataSuhartono, Muhammad Hisyam LeeProblem statement: In the literature, the most studied of fuzzy time series for the purpose of forecasting is the first order fuzzy time series model. In this model, only the first lagged variable is used when constructing the first order fuzzy time series model. Therefore, such approaches fail to analyze accurately trend and seasonal time series which is an important … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 7, Issue 3 · 18 Jul 2011 · 7,942 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractRevenue Determinants in Tourism MarketMohammad Mohebi, Khalid Abdul RahimProblem statement: Malaysian tourism industry has been growing considerably in recent years. The number of tourist arrivals has grown by 25% during 2006-2008. In comparison with Thailand and Singapore, Malaysia has more tourist arrivals but it has earned less income. The purpose of the study was to determine the major factors affecting inbound tourism expenditure in Malaysia. Approach: A panel … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 7, Issue 12 · 31 Dec 2010 · 8,185 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractA Bound Test Approach to Cointegration of Tourism DemandFateh Habibi, Khalid Abdul RahimProblem statement: Given the high contribution of tourism industry in the Malaysian economy, Malaysia has a vast view to increase its market share of the international tourist arrivals in the Asia Pacific region. Therefore, this study attempts to investigate the long run and short run demand for tourism from top ten markets (country). Approach: To accomplish this objective the ARDL … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 6, Issue 11 · 30 Nov 2009 · 7,217 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractSociopolitical Instability and Economic Growth Empirical Evidence from Sri LankaChangsheng Xu, Santhirasegaram Selvarathinam, Wen Xing LiSociopolitical instability severely affects economic growth in short and long run. This study analyzes that sociopolitical instability measured by proxy measure; annual growth rate of tourist arrivals in Sri Lanka during 1960-2005 adversely affects economic growth. Our empirical findings based on ordinary lease square econometric estimation, show that sociopolitical instability negatively and significantly affect economic growth. Reduction of economic growth … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 4, Issue 12 · 31 Dec 2007 · 6,879 accessesView PDFCite