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16 results for “forecast accuracy and time series model”
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Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsFuzzy Time Series: An Application to Tourism Demand ForecastingMuhammad Hisyam Lee, Maria Elena Nor, Suhartono et al.Problem statement: Forecasting is very important in many types of organizations since predictions of future events must be incorporated into the decision-making process. In the case of tourism demand, better forecast would help directors and investors make operational, tactical and strategic decisions. Besides that, government bodies need accurate tourism demand forecasts to plan required tourism infrastructures, such as accommodation site … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 9, Issue 1 · 24 Nov 2011 · 8,474 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsNeural Network in Modeling Malaysian Oil Palm YieldZuhaimy Ismail, Azme KhamisProblem statement: Forecasting of palm oil yield has become an important element in the management of oil palm industry for proper planning and decision making. The importance of yield forecasting has led us to explore modeling of palm oil yield for Malaysia using the most recent development of Artificial Neural Network (ANN). The main issue in yield forecasting is to … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 8, Issue 8 · 19 Jul 2011 · 8,576 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractDengue Fever Prediction Empowered by Radial Basis Function Networks, Dynamic Mode Decomposition, and Learning-Based Foraging AlgorithmArchana T, Faritha Banu JDengue fever is presently considered a major health threat that must be addressed. External and internal factors that induce nonlinear oscillations in the occurrence of dengue disease have made optimal resource allocation stimulating. Public health initiatives aimed at eradicating this vector use accurate and timely data through field processes. In dengue-endemic nations, early dengue prediction remains a main concern for … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 22, Issue 4 · 16 Apr 2026 · 1,496 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractPredictive Analytics and Procurement Visibility: A Big-Data-Driven Approach to Customer Satisfaction in Supply Chain ManagementDevendra Nath Pathak, Rakesh Kumar Yadav, Hitendra SinghIn the current dynamic and consumer driven market environment, supply chains need to move out of reactive to the proactive ecosystems. One of the most urgent requirements is increasing procurement visibility and the development of better order planning for the inventory to meet the products’ demand with continued high customer satisfaction. This paper is an agenda of big-data-driven predictive analytics … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 22, Issue 1 · 3 Feb 2026 · 2,442 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractAnalysis of Artificial Neural Network Point Forecasting Models and Prediction Intervals for Solar Irradiance EstimationAntônio Fabrício Guimarães de Sousa, Helaine Cristina Moraes Furtado, Wilson Negrão Macêdo, Anderson Alvarenga de Moura MenesesAn accurate knowledge on solar irradiance prediction is particularly required for proper development and planning of Photovoltaic (PV) energy systems. The main purpose of the present research is to assess the accuracy of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) short-term forecast of univariate solar irradiance time series, with conventional point prediction and Prediction Intervals (PIs), comparing models. The Lower Upper Bound Estimation … …American Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Vol. 13, Issue 3 · 17 Jul 2020 · 7,440 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting the Number of Monthly Active Facebook and Twitter Worldwide Users Using ARMA ModelQasem Abu Al-Haija, Qian Mao, Kamal Al NasrIn this study, an Auto-Regressive Moving Average (ARMA) Model with optimal order has been developed to estimate and forecast the short term future numbers of the monthly active Facebook and Twitter worldwide users. In order to pickup the optimal estimation order, we analyzed the model order vs. the corresponding model error in terms of final prediction error. The simulation results … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 15, Issue 4 · 19 Apr 2019 · 8,599 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractThe Use of Remote Sensing Techniques in Detecting and Predicting Forest Vegetation Change Using MODIS Satellite Data, Golestan, IranAkram Karimi, Sara Abdollahi, Hamid Reza Kabiri Balajadeh et al.It is so important to be aware of quantitative and qualitative characteristics of changes for the environment, land use planning and sustainable development. Detecting the changes in the condition of an issue is done by time difference observations. Change detection refers to the process of detecting time changes of an object through different time observations. The detection of changes by … …American Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Vol. 11, Issue 1 · 30 Mar 2018 · 8,287 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractHydrological Forecasting Using Hybrid Data-Driven ApproachYoungmin Seo, Sungwon KimThis study develops a hybrid model, EEMD-FANN, coupling feed Forward Artificial Neural Network (FANN) and Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) for improving the accuracy of daily river stage forecasting. An original river stage data is broken down into a residue and Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) using the EEMD and different FANNs are developed as forecasting models for the decomposed IMFs … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 13, Issue 8 · 2 Sep 2016 · 8,136 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractBAYESIAN MODEL AVERAGING WITH MARKOV CHAIN MONTE CARLO FOR CALIBRATING TEMPERATURE FORECAST FROM COMBINATION OF TIME SERIES MODELSHeri Kuswanto, Mega Rahmatia SariGlobal warming is an important issue related to the climate and weather forecast. It is shown by significantly increasing the atmospheric temperature level. Hence, improving the forecast accuracy of temperature is an important issue. The forecast is commonly done by performing a deterministic forecast meaning that the system will generate a point forecast without taking into account the uncertainty induced … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 9, Issue 4 · 29 Nov 2013 · 7,078 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractSeasonal Time Series Data Forecasting by Using Neural Networks Multiscale Autoregressive ModelSuhartono, B. S.S. Ulama, A. J. EndhartaProblem statement: The aim of this research was to study further some latest progress of wavelet transform for time series forecasting, particularly about Neural Networks Multiscale Autoregressive (NN-MAR). Approach: There were three main issues that be considered further in this research. The first was some properties of scale and wavelet coefficients from Maximal Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform (MODWT) decomposition, particularly … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 7, Issue 10 · 31 Oct 2010 · 7,751 accessesView PDFCite