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Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsModeling Tourist Arrivals Using Time Series Analysis: Evidence From AustraliaGurudeo AnandTularam, Victor Siew Howe Wong, Seyed AbdelhamidShobeiriNejadAustralian tourism has a logistic trend as Butler’s model shows. The stagnation has not been reached so opportunities exist to increase tourism. The logistic model predicts 7.2 million tourists in 2015 but time series models of ARIMA and VAR improve the prediction and explain the data. The ARIMA (2, 2, 2) fits well while the VAR lead to Granger causalities … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 8, Issue 3 · 10 Sep 2012 · 7,863 accessesView PDF Cite

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