70 results for “Time Series Forecasting”

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Research ArticleOpen accessPhrase in the titleA Time Series Forecasting for the Cumulative Confirmed and Critical Cases of the Covid-19 Pandemic in Saudi Arabia using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) ModelSamer H. Atawneh, Osamah A.M. Ghaleb, Ahmad MohdAziz Hussein et al.Reviews at present, different machine learning techniques and algorithms have been applied for predicting significant factors of the Coronavirus Disease-2019 (COVID-19) such as the outbreak and diagnosis. In this study, the most accurate time series forecasting model, namely, the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model is used to forecast the expected cumulative number of confirmed and critical cases in Saudi … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 16, Issue 9 · 30 Sep 2020 · 7,596 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessPhrase in the titleAdvanced Multivariate Time Series Forecasting ModelsMiss Lei WangIn this study, the focus is to collect and summarize various advanced forecasting models for multivariate time series dataset. We have discussed about the inherent forecasting strengths and weaknesses related to these time series modelings. Also, the main section deal with the experience of using such data in econometric analysis. Besides, the implementation of SAS and R softwares improve the … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 14, Issue 1 · 21 Dec 2018 · 7,316 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessPhrase in the titleAn Evolving Autoregressive Predictor for Time Series ForecastingDe Z. Li, Wilson Wang, Fathy IsmailAutoregressive (AR) model is a common predictor that has been extensively used for time series forecasting. Many training methods can used to update AR model parameters, for instance, least square estimate and maximum likelihood estimate; however, both techniques are sensitive to noisy samples and outliers. To deal with the problems, an evolving AR predictor, EAR, is developed in this study … …American Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Vol. 8, Issue 1 · 8 Apr 2015 · 6,965 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessPhrase in the titleA New Methodology for Neural Network Training Ensures Error Reduction in Time Series ForecastingPaola A. Sánchez-Sánchez, José Rafael García-GonzálezArtificial Neural Networks (ANN) consists of some components, such as architecture and learning algorithm. These components have a significant effect on the performance of the ANN, but finding good parameters is a difficult task to achieve. An important requirement for this task is to ensure the reduction of error when inputs and/or hidden neurons are added. In practice, it is … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 13, Issue 7 · 4 Jul 2017 · 7,171 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessPhrase in the titleAdaptive Cross-Validation Under Concept Drift for Time Series ForecastingKunjira Kingphai, Prapakorn Kanjina, Kamol Sanittham, Wacharong WongsanurakTime-series forecasting often involves non-stationary data, making i.i.d. validation unreliable and fixed-window protocols vulnerable to leakage and biased error estimates. We propose Adaptive Time-Series Cross-Validation (ATSCV), a drift-aware evaluation framework that uses statistical change-point detection to partition each series into contiguous, approximately stationary regimes, followed by forward-chaining folds that respect those boundaries. By aligning train–validation splits with distributional changes (with … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 22, Issue 7 · 7 Jul 2026 · 1,488 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessPhrase in the titleTime Series Forecasting by using Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average: Subset, Multiplicative or Additive ModelSuhartonoProblem statement: Most of Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models that used for forecasting seasonal time series are multiplicative SARIMA models. These models assume that there is a significant parameter as a result of multiplication between nonseasonal and seasonal parameters without testing by certain statistical test. Moreover, most popular statistical software such as MINITAB and SPSS only has facility … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 7, Issue 1 · 29 Jan 2011 · 18,295 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleFuzzy Time Series: An Application to Tourism Demand ForecastingMuhammad Hisyam Lee, Maria Elena Nor, Suhartono et al.Problem statement: Forecasting is very important in many types of organizations since predictions of future events must be incorporated into the decision-making process. In the case of tourism demand, better forecast would help directors and investors make operational, tactical and strategic decisions. Besides that, government bodies need accurate tourism demand forecasts to plan required tourism infrastructures, such as accommodation site … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 9, Issue 1 · 24 Nov 2011 · 8,474 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleConstructing Fuzzy Time Series Model Based on Fuzzy Clustering for a ForecastingAshraf K. Abd Elaal, Hesham A. Hefny, Ashraf H. Abd ElwahabProblem statement: In this study researchers introduced a fuzzy time series model depending on fuzzy clustering to solve the problem in which the membership values are assumed as Song and Chissom model and to increase the performance of fuzzy time series model. Approach: Proposed model employed seven main procedures in time-invariant fuzzy time-series and time-variant fuzzy time series models. In … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 6, Issue 7 · 31 Jul 2010 · 9,748 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleForecasting and Time Series Analysis of Air Pollutants in Several Area of MalaysiaMohd Zamri Ibrahim, Roziah Zailan, Marzuki Ismail, Muhd Safiih LolaProblem statement: In keeping abreast with Malaysia’s rapid economic development and to meet the nation's aspiration for an improved quality of life, clean-air legislation limiting industrial and automobile emissions was adopted in 1978. Approach: Yet, to this day, air pollution from both sources still poses a problem for the nation. In order to predict the status of future air quality … …American Journal of Environmental Sciences, Vol. 5, Issue 5 · 31 Oct 2009 · 7,761 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleA Hybrid Approach based on Winter's Model and Weighted Fuzzy Time Series for Forecasting Trend and Seasonal DataSuhartono, Muhammad Hisyam LeeProblem statement: In the literature, the most studied of fuzzy time series for the purpose of forecasting is the first order fuzzy time series model. In this model, only the first lagged variable is used when constructing the first order fuzzy time series model. Therefore, such approaches fail to analyze accurately trend and seasonal time series which is an important … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 7, Issue 3 · 18 Jul 2011 · 7,942 accessesView PDF Cite