15 results for “Forecasting ability”

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Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleParameters Estimate of Autoregressive Moving Average and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Models and Compare Their Ability for Inflow ForecastingMohammad Valipour, Mohammad Ebrahim Banihabib, Seyyed Mahmood Reza BehbahaniIn this study the ability of Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models in forecasting the monthly inflow of Dez dam reservoir located in Teleh Zang station in Dez dam upstream is estimated. ARIMA model has found a widespread application in many practical sciences. In addition, dam reservoir inflow forecasting is done by some methods such … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 8, Issue 3 · 30 Aug 2012 · 17,288 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsApplication of Neuro-Fuzzy Techniques for Solar RadiationW. A. Rahoma, U. Ali Rahoma, A. H. HassanProblem statement: The prediction is very useful in solar energy applications because it permits to estimate solar data for locations where measurements are not available. The developed artificial intelligence models predict the solar radiation time series more effectively compared to the conventional procedures based on the clearness index. Approach: The forecasting ability of some models could be further enhanced with … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 7, Issue 10 · 11 Aug 2011 · 7,077 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractAnchoring Public Health Forecasts: High-Precision Obesity Prevalence Estimation Via Hybrid Geodemographic Ensemble RegressionTrenton Ward, Isaac OsunmakindeObesity remains a major driver of chronic disease and rising healthcare costs in the United States. Yet, most existing predictive models rely on single-model classifiers and rarely incorporate spatial structure or ensemble-based regression, thereby limiting their ability to capture geodemographic variation. This study introduces a hybrid unsupervised–supervised ensemble framework that integrates K-Means spatial profiling with a Stacking Regressor to address … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 22, Issue 7 · 31 Jul 2026 · 632 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractEfficient Rainfall Forecasting Using Sequential Momentum-Based Artificial Neural Networks for Urban Flood ManagementSherin K K, G. SuganthiUrban floods cause severe disruption in densely populated cities and damage essential public infrastructure. Rapid urbanization and weak drainage systems further increase the risk during heavy rainfall. Accurate short-term rainfall forecasting is required to support early warning and reduce losses. This research focuses on improving rainfall prediction accuracy using an Artificial Neural Network trained with a new optimizer named Sequential … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 22, Issue 4 · 9 Apr 2026 · 1,539 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractDeep Learning Synergy: CNNs and Transformers for Epidemic Outbreak ForecastingAlexander R., Shakthi Priya V., Sumathi G. et al.An Accurate prediction of outbreaks is extremely crucial for taking proactive public health interventions, distributing limited resources, and controlling a disease. This paper assesses and also compares the performances of the available deep learning models, namely, Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) networks, in predicting. CNNs are best for feature extraction … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 21, Issue 12 · 23 Jan 2026 · 2,113 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractPredicting Financial Statement Failure of Listed Firms in Market for Alternative Investment (mai) using Machine LearningPattanapong Kumsin, Salakjit Ninlaphay, Anupong SukprasertThe purpose of this research is to investigate the financial ratios of companies listed on the Market for Alternative Investment (mai) in Thailand, as well as the likelihood of these companies' financial statement failure. It also intends to create a financial statement failure predicting model for companies listed on the mai and assess the performance of various forecasting models using … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 21, Issue 9 · 24 Nov 2025 · 2,240 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractStock Closing Price Forecasting Using LSTM, Sentiment Analysis, Kalman FilterAssel Abdildayeva, Galymzhan Nurtugan, Guldana Taganova, Ardak AkhmetovaThe article explores the problem of predicting the closing prices of stocks using an innovative approach that combines methods of machine learning, sentiment analysis and noise filtering. The focus is on the development and testing of a comprehensive model that integrates recurrent neural networks (LSTM) for time series analysis, the GPT-3 language model for processing and analyzing textual data from … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 20, Issue 11 · 4 Sep 2024 · 6,262 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractSales Forecasting Models: Comparison between ARIMA, LSTM and ProphetDmitry BrykinSales forecasting is crucial for business planning and resource allocation. Data-driven approaches have become popular in this field. This study compares the performance of three forecasting models: Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Prophet within the context of specific sales categories derived from acquiring data provided by a bank. This study uses a time series dataset … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 20, Issue 10 · 1 Aug 2024 · 7,981 accessesView PDF Cite

Review ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractArtificial Intelligence Techniques and External Factors used in Crime Forecasting in Violence and Property: A ReviewRebaz Mala Nabi, Soran Ab. M. Saeed, Habibollah HaronCrime forecasting is beneficial in providing useful information to authorities in planning effective crime prevention measures. The two types of analysis used in crime forecasting are univariate and multivariate. Comparatively, multivariate analysis provides better forecasting accuracy because of its ability to discover crime patterns not previously seen. Crime is strongly influenced by several external factors, including economic, social and demographic. … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 16, Issue 2 · 19 Feb 2020 · 7,918 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractA Hybrid Artificial Neural Network Model for Option PricingHanningtone Meshack Simiyu, Anthony Gichuhi Waititu, Jane Aduda AkinyiIn the absence of a well-defined input selection technique associated with the pure ANN models, Option pricing using pure ANN models while relaxing the assumption of constant volatility remains a challenge. The conservative drill espoused has been to make allowances for a large number of input lags with the confidence that the ability of ANN to integrate suppleness and redundancy … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 15, Issue 1 · 8 Aug 2019 · 7,410 accessesView PDF Cite