5 results for “Conditional Autoregressive Models”

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Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsGENERALIZED LINEAR MIXED MODELS WITH SPATIAL RANDOM EFFECTS FOR SPATIO-TEMPORAL DATA: AN APPLICATION TO DENGUE FEVER MAPPINGKrisada Lekdee, Lily IngsrisawangThe Generalized Linear Mixed Models (GLMMs) with spatial random effects for spatio-temporal data are proposed. A hierarchical Bayesian method is used for parameter estimation. The random effects are assumed to be normally distributed and the spatial random effects are assumed to be proper Conditional Autoregressive (CAR) models. The proposed models are applied to Dengue fever data in Northern Thailand, including … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 9, Issue 2 · 13 May 2013 · 8,065 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractPoisson Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimator-based CUSUM Test for Integer-Valued Time SeriesSangyeol LeeThis study considers the parameter change test for integer-valued time series models based on the Poisson quasi-maximum likelihood estimates. As a change point test, we consider the score vector-based CUSUM test and show that its limiting null distribution takes the form of a function of Brownian bridges. Moreover, the residual-based CUSUM tests are considered as alternatives. For evaluation, we conduct … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 15, Issue 1 · 1 Oct 2019 · 7,650 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractModelling the Error Term of Australia Gross Domestic ProductAyodele Abraham Agboluaje, Suzilah Ismail, Chee Yin YipThe main aim of this study is to model the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) with the new Combine White Noise (CWN) Model and compare the results with the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Model and Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (EGARCH) Model which are the existing models. The CWN model estimation yields best results with least information criteria and high log likelihood … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 12, Issue 4 · 2 Nov 2016 · 6,930 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractModeling the Error Term by Moving Average and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity ProcessesAyodele Abraham Agboluaje, Suzilah bt Ismail, Chee Yin YipThis study has been able to reveal that the Combine White Noise model outperforms the existing Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) and Moving Average (MA) models in modeling the errors, that exhibits conditional heteroscedasticity and leverage effect. MA process cannot model the data that reveals conditional heteroscedasticity and GARCH cannot model the leverage effect also. The standardized residuals of GARCH … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 12, Issue 11 · 20 Nov 2015 · 6,721 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessAll words, across the recordA Generalized Discrete-Time Long Memory Volatility Model for Financial Stock ExchangeChin Wen CheongWe proposed a simple way to combine a few long memory models in financial market volatility modeling using daily, range and high frequency data. This model was able to fit the return, range of daily return or realized volatility under a parametric heavy-tailed distribution. Model was flexible to include additional volatility information as the contemporaneous variables. Empirical results found that … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 4, Issue 12 · 31 Dec 2007 · 6,869 accessesView PDF Cite