EditorialOpen accessIn the abstractNew Kind of Statistical MethodsCagdas Hakan AladagAladag, C.H. and E. Egrioglu, 2012. Advanced Time Series Forecasting Methods. In: Advances in Time Series Forecasting, Aladag, C.H. and E. Egrioglu (Eds.), Bentham Science Publishers, Oak Park, ISBN-10: 1608053733. Aladag, C.H., 2011. A Hybrid Intelligent Technique Combines Neural Networks and Tabu Search Methods for Forecasting, Computer Search Algorithms. 1st Edn., Nova Publisher, ISBN: 978-1-61209-043-6. Aladag, C.H., E Egrioglu, U. … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 10, Issue 4 · 28 Nov 2014 · 7,588 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractBayesian Models for Time Series with Covariates, Trend, Seasonality, Autoregression and OutliersPitsanu Tongkhow, Nantachai KantananthaBayesian methods furnish an attractive approach to time series data analysis. This article proposes the forecasting models that can detect trend, seasonality, auto regression and outliers in time series data related to some covariates. Cumulative Weibull distribution functions for trend, dummy variables for seasonality, binary selections for outliers and latent autoregression for autocorrelated time series data are used for the … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 9, Issue 3 · 16 Apr 2013 · 6,653 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting the Spanish Stock Market Returns with Fractional and Non-Fractional ModelsGuglielmo Maria Caporale, Juncal Cunado, Luis A. Gil-AlanaProblem statement: The content of this note was to assess the forecasting accuracy of various models of the Spanish stock market returns. Approach: We use daily data on the IBEX 35 for the time period January 4th, 2001-March 28th, 2006 and employ both fractional and non-fractional models. Results: The results on the prediction errors for the out-of-sample forecasts indicate that … …American Journal of Economics and Business Administration, Vol. 3, Issue 4 · 8 Dec 2011 · 7,316 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractApplication of Neuro-Fuzzy Techniques for Solar RadiationW. A. Rahoma, U. Ali Rahoma, A. H. HassanProblem statement: The prediction is very useful in solar energy applications because it permits to estimate solar data for locations where measurements are not available. The developed artificial intelligence models predict the solar radiation time series more effectively compared to the conventional procedures based on the clearness index. Approach: The forecasting ability of some models could be further enhanced with … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 7, Issue 10 · 11 Aug 2011 · 7,077 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractMarket and Economic Regulation Periodicity: A Feature that Allows Prevention and RegulationLaure JehlenProblem statement: This study addressed the essential questions of non linear financial flows forecasting and prevention regarding the means of periodicity. Approach: We implemented some new computational tools to weigh up the presence of periodicity in 10 years financial price time series. The data consists of NYSE-Euronext listed corporations’ closing prices and East-Asian, North-American and European markets indexes closing prices. … …American Journal of Economics and Business Administration, Vol. 2, Issue 4 · 28 Nov 2010 · 7,806 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting Gold Prices Using Multiple Linear Regression MethodZ. Ismail, A. Yahya, A. ShabriProblem statement: Forecasting is a function in management to assist decision making. It is also described as the process of estimation in unknown future situations. In a more general term it is commonly known as prediction which refers to estimation of time series or longitudinal type data. Gold is a precious yellow commodity once used as money. It was made … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 6, Issue 8 · 31 Aug 2009 · 11,091 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractVolatility in Malaysian Stock Market: An Empirical Study Using Fractionally Integrated ApproachChin Wen CheongThis study explores the fractionally integrated (FI) time series analysis in Malaysian stock market. Four proxies of latent volatility, namely the absolute return, squared return and range-based (Parkinson and Garman and Klass) volatilities are selected for the empirical studies. In addition, the well-known FI autoregressive conditional variance (ARCH) type model is also taken into account for comparison purposes. Our empirical … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 5, Issue 6 · 30 Jun 2008 · 6,706 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractData-Driven Forecasting Schemes: Evaluation and ApplicationsJosip Vrbanek Jr, Wilson WangA reliable multi-step predictor is very useful to a wide array of applications to forecast the behavior of dynamic systems. The objective of this paper is to develop a more robust data-driven predictor for time series forecasting. Based on simulation analysis, it is found that multi-step-ahead forecasting schemes based on step inputs perform better than those based on sequential inputs. … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 3, Issue 9 · 30 Sep 2007 · 6,565 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting Foreign Direct Investment Inflow in Jordan: Univariate ARIMA ModelAl-Abdulrazag Bashier, Bataineh TalalThe present study is an attempt to build a Univariate time series model to forecast the FDI inflows into Jordan over the coming period 2004-2025. The study employs Box-Jenkins methodology of building ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model to achieve the goals of the study. An annual sample time series data for the FDI in Jordan was utilized over the … …Journal of Social Sciences, Vol. 3, Issue 1 · 31 Mar 2007 · 8,385 accessesView PDFCite