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216 articles for “Forecast”
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Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleForecasting Air Passenger Demand: A Comparison of LSTM and SARIMAQuang Hung Do, Shih-Kuei Lo, Jeng-Fung Chen et al.All airports need to have an accurate prediction of the number of passengers for their efficient management. An accurate prediction of the number of air passengers is crucial task since it provides information for planning decisions in the airport infrastructure to stabilize the service and maximize the profit. This study proposes a novel air passenger demand forecasting model based on … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 16, Issue 7 · 25 Jul 2020 · 8,565 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleParameter Optimization of Gradient Tree Boosting Using Dragonfly Algorithm in Crime Forecasting and AnalysisAlif Ridzuan Khairuddin, Nor Azizah Ali, Razana Alwee et al.Crime forecasting and analysis are very important in predicting future crime patterns and beneficial to the authorities in planning effective crime prevention measures. One of the challenges found in crime analysis is the crime data itself as its form, representation and distribution are varied and unpredictable. To handle such data, most researchers have been focusing on applying various Artificial Intelligence … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 15, Issue 8 · 7 Aug 2019 · 7,925 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleAdvanced Multivariate Time Series Forecasting ModelsMiss Lei WangIn this study, the focus is to collect and summarize various advanced forecasting models for multivariate time series dataset. We have discussed about the inherent forecasting strengths and weaknesses related to these time series modelings. Also, the main section deal with the experience of using such data in econometric analysis. Besides, the implementation of SAS and R softwares improve the … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 14, Issue 1 · 21 Dec 2018 · 7,323 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleWeather Forecasting Using Merged Long Short-Term Memory Model (LSTM) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) ModelAfan Galih Salman, Yaya Heryadi, Edi Abdurahman, Wayan SupartaWeather forecasting is an interesting research problem in flight navigation area. One of the important weather data in aviation is visibility. Visibility is an important factor in all phases of flight, especially when the aircraft is maneuvering on or close to the ground, i.e., during taxi-out, take-off and initial climb, approach and landing and taxi-in. The aim of these study … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 14, Issue 7 · 28 Jun 2018 · 11,437 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleElectrical Load Forecasting Using Artificial Neural Network: The Case Study of the Grid Inter-Connected Network of Benin Electricity Community (CEB)Adekunlé Akim Salami, Ayité Sénah Akoda Ajavon, Koffi A. Dotche, Koffi-Sa BedjaThe low rate of electrification seems challenging in many West African countries and many strategies are underway to improve upon. In this regard, the target of achieving the universal access and services calls for a stable and reliable electrical network. Forecasting of electrical load on a connected grid network is very delicate and requires tremendous task from the utilities (billing … …American Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Vol. 11, Issue 2 · 11 Apr 2018 · 9,149 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleForecasting of Humidity of Some Selected Stations from the Northern Part of Bangladesh: An Application of SARIMA ModelMd. Moyazzem Hossain, Md. Atikur Rahman, Md. Zahirul Islam, Ajit Kumar MajumderCommunity risk from natural hazards and climate change depends largely on physical and climatic settings of an area, socio-economic condition of a community and the magnitude, duration and consecutiveness of the hazard or change itself. Impacts of climate change can be characterized by increasing temperatures, rainfall, humidity changes and climate related extreme events such as floods, cyclone, droughts, sea level … …American Journal of Environmental Sciences, Vol. 12, Issue 3 · 10 May 2016 · 8,619 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleAn Evolving Autoregressive Predictor for Time Series ForecastingDe Z. Li, Wilson Wang, Fathy IsmailAutoregressive (AR) model is a common predictor that has been extensively used for time series forecasting. Many training methods can used to update AR model parameters, for instance, least square estimate and maximum likelihood estimate; however, both techniques are sensitive to noisy samples and outliers. To deal with the problems, an evolving AR predictor, EAR, is developed in this study … …American Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Vol. 8, Issue 1 · 8 Apr 2015 · 6,972 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleA NOVEL APPROACH BASED ON GENETIC FUZZY CLUSTERING AND ADAPTIVE NEURAL NETWORKS FOR SALES FORECASTINGAttariuas Hichama, Bouhorma Mohameda, El Fallahi AbdellahbThis article proposes a new hybrid sales forecasting system based on genetic fuzzy clustering and Back-Propagation (BP) Neural Networks with adaptive learning rate (GFCBPN).The proposed architecture consists of three stages: (1) utilizing Winter’s Exponential Smoothing method and Fuzzy C-Means clustering, all normalized data records will be categorized into k clusters; (2) using an adapted Genetic Fuzzy System (MCGFS), the fuzzy … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 9, Issue 8 · 2 Jul 2013 · 6,675 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleSeasonal ARIMA for Forecasting Air Pollution Index: A Case StudyMuhammad Hisyam Lee, Nur Haizum Abd. Rahman, Suhartono et al.Problem statement: Both developed and developing countries are the major reason that affects the world environment quality. In that case, without limit or warning, this pollution may affect human health, agricultural, forest species and ecosystems. Therefore, the aim of this study was to determine the monthly and seasonal variations of Air Pollution Index (API) at all monitoring stations in Johor. … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 9, Issue 4 · 14 Feb 2012 · 10,332 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleAn Efficient Weather Forecasting System using Radial Basis Function Neural NetworkTiruvenkadam Santhanam, A. C. SubhajiniProblem statement: Accurate weather forecasting plays a vital role for planning day to day activities. Neural network has been use in numerous meteorological applications including weather forecasting. Approach: A neural network model has been developed for weather forecasting, based on various factors obtained from meteorological experts. This study evaluates the performance of Radial Basis Function (RBF) with Back Propagation (BPN) … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 7, Issue 7 · 28 Jun 2011 · 7,759 accessesView PDFCite