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16 results for “forecast accuracy and time series model”

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Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting Peak Load Electricity Demand Using Statistics and Rule Based ApproachZ. Ismail, A. Yahya, K. A. MahpolProblem statement: Forecasting of electricity load demand is an essential activity and an important function in power system planning and development. It is a prerequisite to power system expansion planning as the world of electricity is dominated by substantial lead times between decision making and its implementation. The importance of demand forecasting needs to be emphasized at all level as … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 6, Issue 8 · 31 Aug 2009 · 7,943 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting Gold Prices Using Multiple Linear Regression MethodZ. Ismail, A. Yahya, A. ShabriProblem statement: Forecasting is a function in management to assist decision making. It is also described as the process of estimation in unknown future situations. In a more general term it is commonly known as prediction which refers to estimation of time series or longitudinal type data. Gold is a precious yellow commodity once used as money. It was made … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 6, Issue 8 · 31 Aug 2009 · 11,099 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractElectricity Load Forecasting based on Framelet Neural Network TechniqueMohammed K. AbdLoad forecasting is very essential to the operation of electricity companies. It enhances the energy-efficient and reliable operation of a power system. This study shows Electricity Load Forecasting modeling based on Framelet Neural Network Technique (FNN) for Baghdad City. Framelet technique is implemented to the time series data, decomposing the data into number of Framelet coefficient signals. The decomposed signals … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 6, Issue 5 · 31 May 2009 · 8,278 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting Foreign Direct Investment Inflow in Jordan: Univariate ARIMA ModelAl-Abdulrazag Bashier, Bataineh TalalThe present study is an attempt to build a Univariate time series model to forecast the FDI inflows into Jordan over the coming period 2004-2025. The study employs Box-Jenkins methodology of building ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model to achieve the goals of the study. An annual sample time series data for the FDI in Jordan was utilized over the … …Journal of Social Sciences, Vol. 3, Issue 1 · 31 Mar 2007 · 8,389 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractEstimation Techniques for Monitoring and Controlling the Performance of the Computer Communication NetworksIbrahiem M.M. El Emary, Adanan I. Al RabiaThis study was concerned with making a comparative study between four types of time series model with the goal of choosing the optimum one to predict the performance of a computer communication network. The investigated four types of time series are: Least Square (LS), Fourier series, Exponential Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) and the Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). Comparative … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 2, Issue 10 · 31 Oct 2005 · 7,131 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessAll words, across the recordForecasting and Modelling Electricity Demand Using Anfis PredictorM. Mordjaoui, B. BoudjemaProblem statement: Load forecasting plays an important task in power system planning, operation and control. It has received an increasing attention over the years by academic researchers and practitioners. Control, security assessment, optimum planning of power production required a precise short term load forecasting. Approach: This study tries to combine neural network and fuzzy logic for next week electric load … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 7, Issue 4 · 14 Sep 2011 · 7,817 accessesView PDFCite