22 articles for “Seasonal Time Series”

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Research ArticleOpen accessPhrase in the titleSeasonal Time Series Data Forecasting by Using Neural Networks Multiscale Autoregressive ModelSuhartono, B. S.S. Ulama, A. J. EndhartaProblem statement: The aim of this research was to study further some latest progress of wavelet transform for time series forecasting, particularly about Neural Networks Multiscale Autoregressive (NN-MAR). Approach: There were three main issues that be considered further in this research. The first was some properties of scale and wavelet coefficients from Maximal Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform (MODWT) decomposition, particularly … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 7, Issue 10 · 31 Oct 2010 · 7,751 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleSeasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model for Precipitation Time SeriesYan Wang, Xinghua Chang, Meng Gao, Xiyong HouPredicting the trend of precipitation is a difficult task in meteorology and environmental sciences. Statistical approaches from time series analysis provide an alternative way for precipitation prediction. The ARIMA model incorporating seasonal characteristics, which is referred to as seasonal ARIMA model was presented. The time series data is the monthly precipitation data in Yantai, China and the period is from … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 8, Issue 4 · 20 Feb 2013 · 12,655 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleA Hybrid Approach based on Winter's Model and Weighted Fuzzy Time Series for Forecasting Trend and Seasonal DataSuhartono, Muhammad Hisyam LeeProblem statement: In the literature, the most studied of fuzzy time series for the purpose of forecasting is the first order fuzzy time series model. In this model, only the first lagged variable is used when constructing the first order fuzzy time series model. Therefore, such approaches fail to analyze accurately trend and seasonal time series which is an important … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 7, Issue 3 · 18 Jul 2011 · 7,942 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleTime Series Forecasting by using Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average: Subset, Multiplicative or Additive ModelSuhartonoProblem statement: Most of Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models that used for forecasting seasonal time series are multiplicative SARIMA models. These models assume that there is a significant parameter as a result of multiplication between nonseasonal and seasonal parameters without testing by certain statistical test. Moreover, most popular statistical software such as MINITAB and SPSS only has facility … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 7, Issue 1 · 29 Jan 2011 · 18,295 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsStock Return, Growth and Inflation in India: Analysis of Stochastic Seasonality, Impulse Response and Multivariate GARCHPanchanan DasThis study analyses the empirical interdependence among asset returns, industrial growth and inflation after controlling for interest rate by considering stochastic seasonality and conditional volatility with monthly time series in India. The HEGY unit root test suggests that industrial growth and inflation experience only stochastic trend and no persistent stochastic behaviour at any other seasonal frequencies, while stock return follows … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 18, Issue 1 · 3 May 2021 · 7,344 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsForecasting Daily Demand in Cash Supply ChainsMichael WagnerProblem statement: Previous studies focused on explaining the long run determinants of currency demand offering limited insight into the short-run determinants and co-variability of daily demand in cash supply chains. Approach: This study contrasted competing techniques of forecasting daily demand in cash supply chains in order to determine the overall performance and the potential of joint forecasting for integrated planning. … …American Journal of Economics and Business Administration, Vol. 2, Issue 4 · 28 Nov 2010 · 7,736 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractImplementing a Hybrid VMD–BiTCN–BiGRU Architecture With Intelligent Optimization for Agricultural Commodity Price Prognostication in Gujarat MarketsJignesh Hirapara, Ratnesh Kumar Namdeo, Ankit Kumar Dubey et al.In the agricultural sector, the prices of pulses require adequate forecasting to plan farming activities, store and market, and guide policy-making. However, the pulse price series is highly volatile, seasonal, nonstationary, and nonlinear, and thus conventional linear time series models are not necessarily very effective. In the suggested framework, the raw price data series is decomposed using Variational Mode Decomposition … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 22, Issue 7 · 1 Aug 2026 · 1,021 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractPredictive Analytics and Procurement Visibility: A Big-Data-Driven Approach to Customer Satisfaction in Supply Chain ManagementDevendra Nath Pathak, Rakesh Kumar Yadav, Hitendra SinghIn the current dynamic and consumer driven market environment, supply chains need to move out of reactive to the proactive ecosystems. One of the most urgent requirements is increasing procurement visibility and the development of better order planning for the inventory to meet the products’ demand with continued high customer satisfaction. This paper is an agenda of big-data-driven predictive analytics … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 22, Issue 1 · 3 Feb 2026 · 2,442 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractAssociation Between Particulate Matter (PM10) Exposure and Cardiorespiratory Hospital Admissions: A Time Series AnalysisNur Nabila Abd Rahim, Abqariyah Yahya, Wan Rozita Wan MahiyuddinThis study aimed to evaluate the association between particulate matter (PM10) exposure and cardiorespiratory hospital admissions and develop a time series model for cardiorespiratory hospital admissions in Johor, Malaysia. Retrospective time series analysis was utilised to study cardiorespiratory hospital admissions for the study period 2015-2016. Over-dispersed Poisson generalized linear models with parametric smoothing functions were used to examine the association … …American Journal of Environmental Sciences, Vol. 17, Issue 2 · 27 May 2021 · 6,917 accessesView PDF Cite

Case ReportOpen accessIn the abstractEvaluation of Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Models for River Flow ForecastingKassahun Birhanu Tadesse, Megersa Olumana Dinka, Tena Alamirew, Semu Ayalew MogesReservoir operation policies cannot be functional in instant decision making without forecasting the future reservoir inflows. For forecasting inflows into reservoirs with only hydrological data is available like Koga irrigation dam, multivariate forecasting models cannot be used to generate accurate river flow information. As a result, an evaluation of univariate Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models was done for … …American Journal of Environmental Sciences, Vol. 13, Issue 5 · 28 Sep 2017 · 7,885 accessesView PDF Cite