5 articles for “Seasonal Decomposition”

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Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsSpatio-Temporal Anomaly Detection in Groundwater Electrical Conductivity Using a Hybrid Framework of Isolation Forest and AutoencoderEunji Lee, Seunghyun Lim, Seojun Lee, Abhijit DebnathMonitoring groundwater quality is vital for environmental safety and resource sustainability. This study combines Isolation Forest and Autoencoder models to detect anomalies in Electrical Conductivity (EC) and temperature, using monthly data collected in South Korea between 2006 and 2023. Linear regression and the Mann-Kendall test reveal a weak, episodic downward EC trend. Seasonal decomposition indicates annual cyclicality, while residual analysis … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 22, Issue 1 · 14 Feb 2026 · 1,918 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractImplementing a Hybrid VMD–BiTCN–BiGRU Architecture With Intelligent Optimization for Agricultural Commodity Price Prognostication in Gujarat MarketsJignesh Hirapara, Ratnesh Kumar Namdeo, Ankit Kumar Dubey et al.In the agricultural sector, the prices of pulses require adequate forecasting to plan farming activities, store and market, and guide policy-making. However, the pulse price series is highly volatile, seasonal, nonstationary, and nonlinear, and thus conventional linear time series models are not necessarily very effective. In the suggested framework, the raw price data series is decomposed using Variational Mode Decomposition … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 22, Issue 7 · 1 Aug 2026 · 1,021 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractA Hybrid Approach based on Winter's Model and Weighted Fuzzy Time Series for Forecasting Trend and Seasonal DataSuhartono, Muhammad Hisyam LeeProblem statement: In the literature, the most studied of fuzzy time series for the purpose of forecasting is the first order fuzzy time series model. In this model, only the first lagged variable is used when constructing the first order fuzzy time series model. Therefore, such approaches fail to analyze accurately trend and seasonal time series which is an important … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 7, Issue 3 · 18 Jul 2011 · 7,942 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractSeasonal Time Series Data Forecasting by Using Neural Networks Multiscale Autoregressive ModelSuhartono, B. S.S. Ulama, A. J. EndhartaProblem statement: The aim of this research was to study further some latest progress of wavelet transform for time series forecasting, particularly about Neural Networks Multiscale Autoregressive (NN-MAR). Approach: There were three main issues that be considered further in this research. The first was some properties of scale and wavelet coefficients from Maximal Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform (MODWT) decomposition, particularly … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 7, Issue 10 · 31 Oct 2010 · 7,751 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessAll words, across the recordModeling Tourist Arrivals Using Time Series Analysis: Evidence From AustraliaGurudeo AnandTularam, Victor Siew Howe Wong, Seyed AbdelhamidShobeiriNejadAustralian tourism has a logistic trend as Butler’s model shows. The stagnation has not been reached so opportunities exist to increase tourism. The logistic model predicts 7.2 million tourists in 2015 but time series models of ARIMA and VAR improve the prediction and explain the data. The ARIMA (2, 2, 2) fits well while the VAR lead to Granger causalities … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 8, Issue 3 · 10 Sep 2012 · 7,857 accessesView PDF Cite