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27 articles for “Risk theory”

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Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsFlow of Dividends under a Constant Force of InterestJuma Kasozi, Jostein PaulsenThis study addresses the issue of maximization of dividends of an insurer whose portfolio is exposed to insurance risk. The insurance risk arises from the classical surplus process commonly known as the Cramér-Lundberg model in the insurance literature. To enhance his financial base, the insurer invests in a risk free asset whose price dynamics are governed by a constant force … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 2, Issue 10 · 31 Oct 2005 · 7,386 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsNumerical Ultimate Ruin Probabilities under Interest ForceJuma Kasozi, Jostein PaulsenThis work addresses the issue of ruin of an insurer whose portfolio is exposed to insurance risk arising from the classical surplus process. Availability of a positive interest rate in the financial world forces the insurer to invest into a risk free asset. We derive a linear Volterra integral equation of the second kind and apply an order four Block-by-block … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 1, Issue 3 · 30 Sep 2005 · 6,491 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting Corporate Financial Distress Using Explainable Machine Learning: Implications for Risk Management TechnologyKanjana Hinthaw, Warawut NarkbunnumFinancial distress prediction is a critical task in financial risk management, yet it remains challenging due to class imbalance, complex financial structures, and limited model interpretability. This study develops an integrated machine learning framework that combines feature selection, class imbalance handling, threshold optimization, and Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) to improve both predictive performance and decision-making reliability. Using a dataset of … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 22, Issue 7 · 22 Jul 2026 · 1,130 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractETFs in European Emerging Markets: Performance, Risk and SustainabilityRosa Adamo, Domenica Federico, Antonella NotteOver the past few decades, Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have become one of the most innovative financial instruments traded in financial markets. The aim is to offer an overview of the ETF market in Emerging Europe through a study on performance, risks and sustainability. The research examines the costs, the performance of the fund over calendar year periods (annual return), the … …American Journal of Economics and Business Administration, Vol. 15, Issue 1 · 14 Dec 2023 · 6,300 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractAI-Integrated Probabilistic Optimization for Inventory Control Under Stochastic DemandJanardan BeheraThe identification and operationalization of increasingly nonstationary and volatile demand patterns challenge the conduct of inventory management in contemporary supply chains. The classical models, especially EOQ and static policies, rest on the stability of demand assumptions, either deterministically or distributionally, and are hence less apt under real-world uncertainty. In view of these limitations, the present study puts forward an integrated … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 22, Issue 1 · 6 May 2026 · 2,217 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractStatistical Modeling of Temperature Extremes Behaviour in GhanaTwumasi-Ankrah Sampson, Nyantakyi Agyei KwadwoThis paper focuses on modeling the extreme maximum temperature in Ghana using the extreme value theory. This is to inform decision-makers to help them plan appropriate risk mitigating measures to reduce the damage caused by drought. The block maxima with Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) and the General Pareto (GP) (with “all excesses” and decluster peaks) were used on 113 years … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 14, Issue 1 · 10 Jan 2019 · 7,117 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractThe use of Expected Utility Theory (EUT) in Taxpayers' Behaviour ModellingFarid Ameur, Mohamed TkiouatIn this study, we analyze taxpayers' behaviour regarding tax system. We present a theoretical study of a model pre established by other authors based on the expected utility theory; taxpayer's behavior is assumed to be risk-averse. We have released some conditions of this model and we have introduced a new parameter reflecting the efficiency of tax control; we found that … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 14, Issue 2 · 5 Feb 2017 · 7,522 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractApplication of Bi-Directional Grid Constrained Stochastic Processes to Algorithmic TradingAldo Taranto, Shahjahan KhanBi-directional Grid Constrained (BGC) Stochastic Processes (BGCSP) become more constrained the further they drift away from the origin or time axis are examined here. As they drift further away from the time axis, then the greater the likelihood of stopping, as if by two hidden reflective barriers. The theory of BGCSP is applied to a trading environment in which long … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 17, Issue 1 · 6 Mar 2021 · 8,524 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractECONOMIC EVALUATION OF AQUACULTURE INVESTMENTS UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK AND UNCERTAINTY IN THE MEDITERRANEAN SEAFilippo Sgroi, Salvatore Tudisca, Anna Maria Di Trapani, Riccardo TestaThis study aims to analyze, from a technical and economic point of view, the choice between alternative investments in aquaculture under conditions of risk and uncertainty. In particular, a comparative analysis has been conducted between an inshore and an offshore farm producing European sea bass in the Mediterranean Sea. The applied model refers to the theory of subjective probability, assigning … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 11, Issue 9 · 1 Oct 2014 · 6,897 accessesView PDFCite
EditorialOpen accessIn the abstractPLANT STEROLS LOWER CHOLESTEROL, BUT INCREASE RISK FOR CORONARY HEART DISEASEZoë Harcombe, Julien S. BakerAssmann, G., P. Cullen, J. Erbey, D.R. Ramey and F. Kannenberg et al., 2006. Plasma sitosterol elevations are associated with an increased incidence of coronary events in men: Results of a nested case-control analysis of the Prospective Cardiovascular Munster (PROCAM) study. Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis., 16: 13-21. BfR, 2011. Addition of plant sterols and stanols to food: Assessment of a … …OnLine Journal of Biological Sciences, Vol. 14, Issue 3 · 21 Aug 2014 · 88,990 accessesView PDFCite