Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsOn Bayes Estimation of the First Order Moving Average ModelMahmoud M. Smadi, Ahmed A. Abu-TalebIn this work, Bayes estimation of the first order moving average model (MA(1)) were studied. Theoretical justification of the Bayes estimates based on the estimated innovations is given. The convergence of Bayes and maximum likelihood estimates are examined via simulation using different parameter values. Also, Bayes estimates were determined when the model is invertible using the estimated innovations. For long … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 2, Issue 3 · 30 Sep 2006 · 6,522 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractModelling and Forecasting Volatility of Returns on the Ghana Stock Exchange Using Garch ModelsFrimpong Joseph Magnus, Oteng-Abayie Eric FosuThis paper models and forecasts volatility (conditional variance) on the Ghana Stock Exchange using a random walk (RW), GARCH(1,1), EGARCH(1,1), and TGARCH(1,1) models. The unique ‘three days a week’ Databank Stock Index (DSI) was used to study the dynamics of the Ghana stock market volatility over a 10-year period. The competing volatility models were estimated and their specification and forecast … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 3, Issue 10 · 31 Oct 2006 · 7,551 accessesView PDFCite