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8 articles for “Box Jenkins Models”
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Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsPrediction of Grain Products in TurkeyÖzlem Akay, Gökmen Bozkurt, Güzin YükselMarketing of agricultural products starts with the planning of production on the farm and ends with the sale of food or other goods to manufacturers or consumers. Overall, marketing is a main part of successful agriculture but its significance is usually underestimated, particularly in developing countries. In Turkey, annual variations in grain production are reasonable and result primarily from changes … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 13, Issue 3 · 10 Jul 2017 · 7,322 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractResidual Analysis for Auto-Correlated Econometric ModelHabib Ahmed ElsayirThe aim of this article is to provide residual analysis for a time series data of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the Sudan. An econometric time series model with macroeconomic variables is conducted to examine the goodness of fit using residual. Many statistical tests are used in time series models in order to make it a stationary series. After applying … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 15, Issue 1 · 1 Jun 2019 · 6,577 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting of Humidity of Some Selected Stations from the Northern Part of Bangladesh: An Application of SARIMA ModelMd. Moyazzem Hossain, Md. Atikur Rahman, Md. Zahirul Islam, Ajit Kumar MajumderCommunity risk from natural hazards and climate change depends largely on physical and climatic settings of an area, socio-economic condition of a community and the magnitude, duration and consecutiveness of the hazard or change itself. Impacts of climate change can be characterized by increasing temperatures, rainfall, humidity changes and climate related extreme events such as floods, cyclone, droughts, sea level … …American Journal of Environmental Sciences, Vol. 12, Issue 3 · 10 May 2016 · 8,618 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractSeasonal ARIMA for Forecasting Air Pollution Index: A Case StudyMuhammad Hisyam Lee, Nur Haizum Abd. Rahman, Suhartono et al.Problem statement: Both developed and developing countries are the major reason that affects the world environment quality. In that case, without limit or warning, this pollution may affect human health, agricultural, forest species and ecosystems. Therefore, the aim of this study was to determine the monthly and seasonal variations of Air Pollution Index (API) at all monitoring stations in Johor. … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 9, Issue 4 · 14 Feb 2012 · 10,326 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractFuzzy Time Series: An Application to Tourism Demand ForecastingMuhammad Hisyam Lee, Maria Elena Nor, Suhartono et al.Problem statement: Forecasting is very important in many types of organizations since predictions of future events must be incorporated into the decision-making process. In the case of tourism demand, better forecast would help directors and investors make operational, tactical and strategic decisions. Besides that, government bodies need accurate tourism demand forecasts to plan required tourism infrastructures, such as accommodation site … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 9, Issue 1 · 24 Nov 2011 · 8,474 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractTime Series Forecasting by using Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average: Subset, Multiplicative or Additive ModelSuhartonoProblem statement: Most of Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models that used for forecasting seasonal time series are multiplicative SARIMA models. These models assume that there is a significant parameter as a result of multiplication between nonseasonal and seasonal parameters without testing by certain statistical test. Moreover, most popular statistical software such as MINITAB and SPSS only has facility … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 7, Issue 1 · 29 Jan 2011 · 18,295 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting Peak Load Electricity Demand Using Statistics and Rule Based ApproachZ. Ismail, A. Yahya, K. A. MahpolProblem statement: Forecasting of electricity load demand is an essential activity and an important function in power system planning and development. It is a prerequisite to power system expansion planning as the world of electricity is dominated by substantial lead times between decision making and its implementation. The importance of demand forecasting needs to be emphasized at all level as … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 6, Issue 8 · 31 Aug 2009 · 7,936 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting Foreign Direct Investment Inflow in Jordan: Univariate ARIMA ModelAl-Abdulrazag Bashier, Bataineh TalalThe present study is an attempt to build a Univariate time series model to forecast the FDI inflows into Jordan over the coming period 2004-2025. The study employs Box-Jenkins methodology of building ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model to achieve the goals of the study. An annual sample time series data for the FDI in Jordan was utilized over the … …Journal of Social Sciences, Vol. 3, Issue 1 · 31 Mar 2007 · 8,385 accessesView PDFCite