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8 articles for “Auto-Regression model”
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Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleForecasting River Flow in the USA: A Comparison between Auto-Regression and Neural Network Non-Parametric ModelsAbdel K.M. Baareh, Alaa F. Sheta, Khaled A. KhnaifesForecasting a time series became one of the most challenging tasks to variety of data sets. The existence of large number of parameters to be estimated and the effect of uncertainty and outliers in the measurements makes the time series modeling too complicated. Recently, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) became quite successful tool to handle time series modeling problem. This paper … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 2, Issue 10 · 31 Oct 2006 · 6,962 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsModeling Tourist Arrivals Using Time Series Analysis: Evidence From AustraliaGurudeo AnandTularam, Victor Siew Howe Wong, Seyed AbdelhamidShobeiriNejadAustralian tourism has a logistic trend as Butler’s model shows. The stagnation has not been reached so opportunities exist to increase tourism. The logistic model predicts 7.2 million tourists in 2015 but time series models of ARIMA and VAR improve the prediction and explain the data. The ARIMA (2, 2, 2) fits well while the VAR lead to Granger causalities … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 8, Issue 3 · 10 Sep 2012 · 7,857 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractA VAR Model for Forecasting Land Market Value in USALei WangForecasts of the future tendency of economic variables such as GDP, inflation rate and unemployment rate, arise many interests from business and government. Also, Modeling the land market at the national level can capture rich dynamic presenting in interdependent economies. In this paper, we studied a Vector Auto-regression (VAR) of Land Market Value and five US macroeconomic variables. We employed … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 14, Issue 1 · 1 Jan 2018 · 7,639 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractBuilding Energy Modeling Using Artificial Neural NetworksMaya Arida, Nabil Nassif, Rand Talib, Taher Abu-LebdehAccurate modeling of total building energy is now vital to reduce energy consumption. This is especially true for buildings since they are considered as the largest energy consumer in the United States. This paper investigates modeling methods for building energy-systems using non-linear auto-regression artificial neural networks. The proposed model can forecast the whole building energy consumptions given the four input … …Energy Research Journal, Vol. 7, Issue 2 · 6 Jun 2017 · 7,125 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractA Deoxyribonucleic Acid Compression Algorithm Using Auto-Regression and Swarm IntelligenceWalid Aly, Basheer Yousif, Bassem ZohdyDNA compression challenge has become a major task for many researchers as a result of exponential increase of produced DNA sequences in gene databases; in this research we attempt to solve the DNA compression challenge by developing a lossless compression algorithm. The proposed algorithm works in horizontal mode using a substitutional-statistical technique which is based on Auto Regression modeling (AR), … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 9, Issue 6 · 30 May 2013 · 6,729 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractBayesian Models for Time Series with Covariates, Trend, Seasonality, Autoregression and OutliersPitsanu Tongkhow, Nantachai KantananthaBayesian methods furnish an attractive approach to time series data analysis. This article proposes the forecasting models that can detect trend, seasonality, auto regression and outliers in time series data related to some covariates. Cumulative Weibull distribution functions for trend, dummy variables for seasonality, binary selections for outliers and latent autoregression for autocorrelated time series data are used for the … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 9, Issue 3 · 16 Apr 2013 · 6,653 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractFuzzy Time Series: An Application to Tourism Demand ForecastingMuhammad Hisyam Lee, Maria Elena Nor, Suhartono et al.Problem statement: Forecasting is very important in many types of organizations since predictions of future events must be incorporated into the decision-making process. In the case of tourism demand, better forecast would help directors and investors make operational, tactical and strategic decisions. Besides that, government bodies need accurate tourism demand forecasts to plan required tourism infrastructures, such as accommodation site … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 9, Issue 1 · 24 Nov 2011 · 8,474 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting Peak Load Electricity Demand Using Statistics and Rule Based ApproachZ. Ismail, A. Yahya, K. A. MahpolProblem statement: Forecasting of electricity load demand is an essential activity and an important function in power system planning and development. It is a prerequisite to power system expansion planning as the world of electricity is dominated by substantial lead times between decision making and its implementation. The importance of demand forecasting needs to be emphasized at all level as … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 6, Issue 8 · 31 Aug 2009 · 7,936 accessesView PDFCite