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39 articles for “forecast accuracy”
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Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting and Modelling Electricity Demand Using Anfis PredictorM. Mordjaoui, B. BoudjemaProblem statement: Load forecasting plays an important task in power system planning, operation and control. It has received an increasing attention over the years by academic researchers and practitioners. Control, security assessment, optimum planning of power production required a precise short term load forecasting. Approach: This study tries to combine neural network and fuzzy logic for next week electric load … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 7, Issue 4 · 14 Sep 2011 · 7,811 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractDesign and Implementation of Novel Artificial Neural Network Based Stock Market Forecasting System on Field-Programmable Gate ArraysMd. Syedul Amin, Md. Mamun, Fazida Hanim Hashim et al.Problem statement: Multiagent system is very proficient and has rules well-suited for financial forecast with its neural network. In financial forecasting, the approach for rules extractions is less pertinent and involves algorithms which are complex. The unsupervised network method lacks in comprehensibility and leads to ambiguity. Approach: The application of neural network technology to real-time processing of financial market analysis … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 8, Issue 10 · 12 Sep 2011 · 7,627 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractSeasonal Time Series Data Forecasting by Using Neural Networks Multiscale Autoregressive ModelSuhartono, B. S.S. Ulama, A. J. EndhartaProblem statement: The aim of this research was to study further some latest progress of wavelet transform for time series forecasting, particularly about Neural Networks Multiscale Autoregressive (NN-MAR). Approach: There were three main issues that be considered further in this research. The first was some properties of scale and wavelet coefficients from Maximal Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform (MODWT) decomposition, particularly … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 7, Issue 10 · 31 Oct 2010 · 7,751 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractArtificial Neural Network Based Model for Forecasting Sugar Cane ProductionO. O. Obe, D. K. ShangodoyinProblem statement: The global need for alternative energy source has necessitated the exploration of vast organic agricultural products with a view of processing them for the production of ethanol in commercial quantity. To ascertain a sustainable production of ethanol from processed sugar cane, a predictive model based on non-linearity nature of its production is imperative. This is due to unavailability … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 6, Issue 4 · 30 Apr 2010 · 7,268 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractRobust Logistic Regression to Static Geometric Representation of RatiosAlireza Bahiraie, Noor Akma Ibrahim, A.K.M. Azhar, Ismail Bin MohdProblem statement: Some methodological problems concerning financial ratios such as non-proportionality, non-asymetricity, non-salacity were solved in this study and we presented a complementary technique for empirical analysis of financial ratios and bankruptcy risk. This new method would be a general methodological guideline associated with financial data and bankruptcy risk. Approach: We proposed the use of a new measure of risk, … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 5, Issue 3 · 30 Sep 2009 · 8,216 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractElectricity Load Forecasting based on Framelet Neural Network TechniqueMohammed K. AbdLoad forecasting is very essential to the operation of electricity companies. It enhances the energy-efficient and reliable operation of a power system. This study shows Electricity Load Forecasting modeling based on Framelet Neural Network Technique (FNN) for Baghdad City. Framelet technique is implemented to the time series data, decomposing the data into number of Framelet coefficient signals. The decomposed signals … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 6, Issue 5 · 31 May 2009 · 8,274 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractIntegrated Modeling for Flood Hazard Mapping Using Watershed Modeling SystemSeyedeh S. Sadrolashrafi, Thamer A. Mohamed, Ahmad R.B. Mahmud et al.In this stduy, a new framework which integrates the Geographic Information System (GIS) with the Watershed Modeling System (WMS) for flood modeling is developed. It also interconnects the terrain models and the GIS software, with commercial standard hydrological and hydraulic models, including HEC-1, HEC-RAS, etc. The Dez River Basin (about 16213 km2) in Khuzestan province, IRAN, is domain of study … …American Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Vol. 1, Issue 2 · 30 Jun 2008 · 10,792 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting Foreign Direct Investment Inflow in Jordan: Univariate ARIMA ModelAl-Abdulrazag Bashier, Bataineh TalalThe present study is an attempt to build a Univariate time series model to forecast the FDI inflows into Jordan over the coming period 2004-2025. The study employs Box-Jenkins methodology of building ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model to achieve the goals of the study. An annual sample time series data for the FDI in Jordan was utilized over the … …Journal of Social Sciences, Vol. 3, Issue 1 · 31 Mar 2007 · 8,385 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractEstimation Techniques for Monitoring and Controlling the Performance of the Computer Communication NetworksIbrahiem M.M. El Emary, Adanan I. Al RabiaThis study was concerned with making a comparative study between four types of time series model with the goal of choosing the optimum one to predict the performance of a computer communication network. The investigated four types of time series are: Least Square (LS), Fourier series, Exponential Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) and the Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). Comparative … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 2, Issue 10 · 31 Oct 2005 · 7,126 accessesView PDFCite