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22 results for “Short Term Forecasting”

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Research ArticleOpen accessAll words, across the recordAnalysis of Artificial Neural Network Point Forecasting Models and Prediction Intervals for Solar Irradiance EstimationAntônio Fabrício Guimarães de Sousa, Helaine Cristina Moraes Furtado, Wilson Negrão Macêdo, Anderson Alvarenga de Moura MenesesAn accurate knowledge on solar irradiance prediction is particularly required for proper development and planning of Photovoltaic (PV) energy systems. The main purpose of the present research is to assess the accuracy of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) short-term forecast of univariate solar irradiance time series, with conventional point prediction and Prediction Intervals (PIs), comparing models. The Lower Upper Bound Estimation … …American Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Vol. 13, Issue 3 · 17 Jul 2020 · 7,440 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessAll words, across the recordForecasting the Number of Monthly Active Facebook and Twitter Worldwide Users Using ARMA ModelQasem Abu Al-Haija, Qian Mao, Kamal Al NasrIn this study, an Auto-Regressive Moving Average (ARMA) Model with optimal order has been developed to estimate and forecast the short term future numbers of the monthly active Facebook and Twitter worldwide users. In order to pickup the optimal estimation order, we analyzed the model order vs. the corresponding model error in terms of final prediction error. The simulation results … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 15, Issue 4 · 19 Apr 2019 · 8,599 accessesView PDFCite