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48 results for “Moving Average Model”

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Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractSubset ARMA Model Identification for Monthly Electricity Consumption DataAmaal El Sayed Abd El Ghany MubarakSubset models can always be highly influential in series analysis, particularly when the data demonstrate a sort of form in periodic behavior with miscellaneous natural period's ranges, specifically; days, weeks, months and years. Subset models can also be effective as they let the number of parameters lower allowing only the really needed ones to be present in the model. Though … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 15, Issue 1 · 8 Mar 2019 · 7,140 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting Ozone Concentrations Using Box-Jenkins ARIMA Modeling in MalaysiaWan Rozita Wan Mahiyuddin, Nur Izzah Jamil, Zamtira Seman et al.Time series analysis and forecasting has become a major tool in many applications in air pollution and environmental management fields. Among the most effective approaches for analyzing time series data is the model introduced by Box and Jenkins. In this study, we used Box-Jenkins methodology to build Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model on the average of monthly ozone data … …American Journal of Environmental Sciences, Vol. 14, Issue 3 · 25 May 2018 · 8,943 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractPrediction of Grain Products in TurkeyÖzlem Akay, Gökmen Bozkurt, Güzin YükselMarketing of agricultural products starts with the planning of production on the farm and ends with the sale of food or other goods to manufacturers or consumers. Overall, marketing is a main part of successful agriculture but its significance is usually underestimated, particularly in developing countries. In Turkey, annual variations in grain production are reasonable and result primarily from changes … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 13, Issue 3 · 10 Jul 2017 · 7,322 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractUtilization of Holt's Forecasting Model for Zakat Collection in IndonesiaAkbarizan, Muhammad Marizal, M. Soleh et al.The practice of zakat is gaining popularity in Indonesia. This development is attributed to the strong role of the government in consistently developing zakat infrastructure and the increased awareness of people to practice zakat. Despite this success, a mechanism for predicting future zakat collection has not yet been developed. This study applies Holt's exponential smoothing and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 13, Issue 12 · 22 Dec 2016 · 7,499 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractModeling Positive Time Series Data: A Neglected Aspect in Time Series CoursesMaman A. Djauhari, Lee Siaw Li, Rohayu Mohd SallehSomething has been forgotten in time series courses, in particular, when dealing with positive datasets. To describe the pattern hidden in this type of datasets, before we use a sophisticated method of modeling such as Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), we propose to check first whether the data represent a Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) process. If it is affirmative, unlike … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 13, Issue 7 · 1 Jul 2016 · 7,533 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting of Banana Production in BangladeshMd. Moyazzem Hossain, Faruq Abdulla, Ajit Kumar MajumderIn Bangladesh, banana is a very popular fruit and cultivated almost everywhere round the year. Rank of Bangladesh is 14 among the top 20 banana producing countries in the world. It is a commercial fruit, but in Bangladesh it is grown in limited area commercially. The demand of banana is increasing day by day in Bangladesh. Thus, this paper attempts … …American Journal of Agricultural and Biological Sciences, Vol. 11, Issue 2 · 16 Jun 2016 · 9,649 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting of Humidity of Some Selected Stations from the Northern Part of Bangladesh: An Application of SARIMA ModelMd. Moyazzem Hossain, Md. Atikur Rahman, Md. Zahirul Islam, Ajit Kumar MajumderCommunity risk from natural hazards and climate change depends largely on physical and climatic settings of an area, socio-economic condition of a community and the magnitude, duration and consecutiveness of the hazard or change itself. Impacts of climate change can be characterized by increasing temperatures, rainfall, humidity changes and climate related extreme events such as floods, cyclone, droughts, sea level … …American Journal of Environmental Sciences, Vol. 12, Issue 3 · 10 May 2016 · 8,618 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractJute Production in Bangladesh: A Time Series AnalysisMd. Moyazzem Hossain, Faruq AbdullaJute is called the Golden Fiber of Bangladesh. Bangladesh is currently the second largest producer of jute fiber. Bangladesh falls behind its other competitors in applying recent technological advancements. In terms of world export of jute fiber, Bangladesh’s share is more than 70%, which makes Bangladesh the largest exporter of jute fiber in the world. The global demand for jute … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 11, Issue 3 · 6 Dec 2015 · 10,393 accessesView PDFCite
EditorialOpen accessIn the abstractData Mining in Time Series: Current Study and Future TrendTan Yan, Liudmila Ulanova, Ye Ouyang, Fengyuan XuTime series represent sequences of data points where usually their order is defined by the time when they were recorded. Thus, virtually any sequential recordings can be stored as time series: Stock prices, weather conditions, physical system parameters change, product quality monitoring, etc. This leads to ubiquity of time series in all scientific and practical fields (Esling and Agon, 2012); … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 10, Issue 12 · 26 Jan 2015 · 8,756 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractTECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF FUZZY METAGRAPH BASED DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR CAPITAL MARKETAnbalagan Thirunavukarasu, Uma MaheswariThis study proposes a Fuzzy Metagraph based Decision Support System (DSS) for short term and long term investment in share market. This rule base decision system will help traders to make correct decision at very low risk. Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and WILLIAM- %R are some of the Technical Indicators which are used as input … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 9, Issue 9 · 6 Aug 2013 · 6,690 accessesView PDFCite