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134 results for “Forecasting Model”

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Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleSuitability of Volatility Models for Forecasting Stock Market Returns: A Study on the Indian National Stock ExchangeTrilochan Tripathy, Luis A. Gil-AlanaProblem statement: Measuring volatility is an important issue for stock market traders. Also, volatility has been used as a proxy for riskiness associated with the asset. This study aims to compare the different volatility models based on how well they model the volatility of the India NSE. Approach: The study has made use of five models which are Historical/Rolling Window … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 7, Issue 11 · 8 Nov 2010 · 7,851 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleSeasonal Time Series Data Forecasting by Using Neural Networks Multiscale Autoregressive ModelSuhartono, B. S.S. Ulama, A. J. EndhartaProblem statement: The aim of this research was to study further some latest progress of wavelet transform for time series forecasting, particularly about Neural Networks Multiscale Autoregressive (NN-MAR). Approach: There were three main issues that be considered further in this research. The first was some properties of scale and wavelet coefficients from Maximal Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform (MODWT) decomposition, particularly … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 7, Issue 10 · 31 Oct 2010 · 7,751 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleConstructing Fuzzy Time Series Model Based on Fuzzy Clustering for a ForecastingAshraf K. Abd Elaal, Hesham A. Hefny, Ashraf H. Abd ElwahabProblem statement: In this study researchers introduced a fuzzy time series model depending on fuzzy clustering to solve the problem in which the membership values are assumed as Song and Chissom model and to increase the performance of fuzzy time series model. Approach: Proposed model employed seven main procedures in time-invariant fuzzy time-series and time-variant fuzzy time series models. In … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 6, Issue 7 · 31 Jul 2010 · 9,748 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleModeling and Forecasting Volatility of the Malaysian Stock MarketsAhmed Shamiri, Zaidi IsaProblem statement: One of the main purposes of modeling variance is forecasting, which is crucial in many areas of finance. Despite the burgeoning interest in and evaluation of volatility forecasts, a clear consensus on witch volatility model/or distribution specification to use has not yet been reached. Therefore, the out of-sample forecasting ability should be a natural model selection criterion for … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 5, Issue 3 · 30 Sep 2009 · 7,900 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleForecasting Air Temperatures Using Time Series Models and Neural-based AlgorithmsMahmoud M. Smadi, Farouq S. MjalliRecently, neural network models have been popular and found useful for forecasting a wide variety of time series data in many disciplines. This is due to their favorable modeling properties of simplicity, fault and noise tolerance and their capability to adapt to process changes. Nevertheless, applications in climatology have been less widespread than other disciplines such as economics. In this … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 3, Issue 2 · 30 Jun 2007 · 7,272 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleForecasting Foreign Direct Investment Inflow in Jordan: Univariate ARIMA ModelAl-Abdulrazag Bashier, Bataineh TalalThe present study is an attempt to build a Univariate time series model to forecast the FDI inflows into Jordan over the coming period 2004-2025. The study employs Box-Jenkins methodology of building ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model to achieve the goals of the study. An annual sample time series data for the FDI in Jordan was utilized over the … …Journal of Social Sciences, Vol. 3, Issue 1 · 31 Mar 2007 · 8,385 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleEnhancing Dam Safety and Management: Long Short-Term Memory Based Predictive Models for Accurate Alert ForecastingNisha C. M, N. ThangarasuDam management and early alert systems are critical for effective water resource management. Accurate prediction of dam alert signals facilitates proactive decision-making, thereby aiding in the effective management and reduction of potential risks linked to dam operations. Within this research, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks are utilized to forecast dam alert signals issued from the dam by leveraging daily parameters, … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 22, Issue 1 · 6 Feb 2026 · 1,626 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleEnhancing Electric Vehicle Charging Demand Prediction Using a Novel SAE-DNN Neural Network Model for Probabilistic ForecastingNaga Raju Hari Manikyam, A. Thangam, J. Murugachandravel et al.The rapid growth and widespread adoption of Electric Vehicles (EVs) play a crucial role in the progress of intelligent transportation systems, resulting in a significant decrease in environmentally damaging greenhouse gas emissions. The increase in EV usage has made it crucial to develop charging infrastructure to keep up with the growing demand. Precisely predicting EV charging demand is crucial to … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 21, Issue 10 · 11 Dec 2025 · 3,536 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleForecasting of Multistep Multivariate Financial Data Through GSO Algorithm Infused Vanilla LSTM ModelNikhitha Pai, Ilango Velchamy, Nithya B RameshPredicting time series in the financial domain requires using models that can do sequence processing tasks. One such model is the LSTM model which belongs to the family of deep learning networks. The performance measure of LSTM in a regression task is to bring down the error in the predicted values. In this study, a novel fused LSTM model integrating … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 19, Issue 7 · 10 Jul 2023 · 6,074 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleForecasting the Diffuse Solar Radiation by using a New Modeling over Saudi ArabiaSamy A. KhalilWithin the arranging and execution assessment of solar energy projects, particularly within the planning and estimation of solar photovoltaic sources as elective energy sources within the future, exact evaluation of Diffuse Solar Radiation (DSR) is one of the essential and basic issues. The target of this article is to use the new model to predict DSR in four different locations … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 18, Issue 1 · 5 May 2021 · 7,352 accessesView PDFCite