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218 results for “Forecast”
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Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractVolatility in Malaysian Stock Market: An Empirical Study Using Fractionally Integrated ApproachChin Wen CheongThis study explores the fractionally integrated (FI) time series analysis in Malaysian stock market. Four proxies of latent volatility, namely the absolute return, squared return and range-based (Parkinson and Garman and Klass) volatilities are selected for the empirical studies. In addition, the well-known FI autoregressive conditional variance (ARCH) type model is also taken into account for comparison purposes. Our empirical … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 5, Issue 6 · 30 Jun 2008 · 6,706 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractA Generalized Discrete-Time Long Memory Volatility Model for Financial Stock ExchangeChin Wen CheongWe proposed a simple way to combine a few long memory models in financial market volatility modeling using daily, range and high frequency data. This model was able to fit the return, range of daily return or realized volatility under a parametric heavy-tailed distribution. Model was flexible to include additional volatility information as the contemporaneous variables. Empirical results found that … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 4, Issue 12 · 31 Dec 2007 · 6,869 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractVAR-models for Predicting BiodiversityTonio D. Bettista, S. A. Gattone, Mariagrzia GranturcoThe aim of this work is to introduce a methodology for monitoring diversity of a biological population by using the tool of diversity profiles. In particular, we develop a theory for studying the diversity profile along the temporal axis. We propose forecasting techniques for diversity profile by using the VAR model on multivariate time series of abundance vector and ARMA … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 1, Issue 4 · 31 Dec 2005 · 6,175 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractA Comparison of Spatio-Temporal Bayesian Models for Reconstruction of Rainfall Fields in a Cloud Seeding ExperimentSujit k. sahu, Giovanna Jona Lasinio, Arianna orasi, Kanti V. MardiaIn response to the drought experienced in Southern Italy a rain seeding project has been setup and developed during the years 1989-1994. The initiative was taken with the purpose of applying existing methods of rain enhancement technology to regions of south Italy including Puglia. The aim of this study is to provide statistical support for the evaluation of the experimental … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 1, Issue 4 · 31 Dec 2005 · 6,810 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractFault Detection of Computer Communication Networks Using an Expert SystemIbrahiem M.M. El Emary, Adanan I. Al RabiaThe main objective of this study was to build an expert system for assisting the network administrator in his work of management and administration of the computer communication network. Theory of operation of the proposed expert system depends on using a time series model capable of forecasting the various performance parameters as: delay, utilization and collision frequency. When the expert … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 2, Issue 10 · 31 Oct 2005 · 7,125 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractWill Financial Analysts Mistake Stocks of Good Companies for Good Stocks? Evidence from Taiwan Stock MarketI-Ju ChenIt has been shown that the individual or institutional investors rely on the information provided by the financial analysts. A good stock recommended by financial experts is expected to make profit to the investors. However, due to the cognitive biases, the financial analysts or investors are probably confused in the firm characteristics between the good stocks and the stocks of … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 2, Issue 1 · 31 Jan 2005 · 6,805 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractA Computable General Equilibrium Model of Southern Region in Taiwan: The Impact of the Tainan Science-Based Industrial ParkChun-Chu Liu, Chia-Yon ChenThe primary modeling tools used to analyze regional economic issues include econometric forecasting models, fixed price Input-Output (I-O) multi-sector models, Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) and Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models. CGE models combine the advantages of econometric, I-O models and SAM strengthening the theoretical basis of the modeling effort and thus enabling more precise policy analysis. The current CGE literature … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 1, Issue 3 · 30 Sep 2004 · 7,210 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractImproving Fund Risk Management by Using New Software Tools TechnologyStephanos Papadamou, George StephanidesThis paper introduces a new MATLAB-based toolbox for Computer Aided mutual fund risk evaluation. In the age of computerized trading, financial services companies and independent investors must quickly investigate fund investment style and market risk. The Fund Risk toolbox is a financial software that includes a set of functions based on value at risk (VaR) and expected tail loss (ETL) … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 1, Issue 2 · 30 Jun 2004 · 6,817 accessesView PDFCite