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57 results for “moving average”
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Research ArticleOpen accessPhrase in the titleSeasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model for Precipitation Time SeriesYan Wang, Xinghua Chang, Meng Gao, Xiyong HouPredicting the trend of precipitation is a difficult task in meteorology and environmental sciences. Statistical approaches from time series analysis provide an alternative way for precipitation prediction. The ARIMA model incorporating seasonal characteristics, which is referred to as seasonal ARIMA model was presented. The time series data is the monthly precipitation data in Yantai, China and the period is from … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 8, Issue 4 · 20 Feb 2013 · 12,655 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleIDENTIFICATION OF PERIODIC AUTOREGRESSIVE MOVING-AVERAGE TIME SERIES MODELS WITH RHazem I. El Shekh Ahmed, Raid B. Salha, Diab I. AL-AwarPeriodic autoregressive moving average PARMA process extend the classical autoregressive moving average ARMA process by allowing the parameters to vary with seasons. Model identification is the identification of a possible model based on an available realization, i.e., determining the type of the model with appropriate orders. The Periodic Autocorrelation Function (PeACF) and the Periodic Partial Autocorrelation Function (PePACF) serve as … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 10, Issue 3 · 15 Sep 2014 · 12,904 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsIntegrated ARIMA and Multi-Scale GRU for Crop Recommendation and Yield Prediction in Precision AgricultureVani Vijay Kumar Ballapuram, Gurupraksh Chirathahalli DyamannaAgriculture is the fundamental source of food, income, and livelihood for rural communities in India. Numerous crops are affected due to the lack of technical decision-making support and variations in weather patterns, temperature, rainfall, and atmosphere factors, which play a critical role in defining crop yield. Hence, choosing the appropriate crop to maximize yield is key to enhancing real-time farming … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 21, Issue 10 · 26 Nov 2025 · 2,022 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsAutoregressive Integrate Mean Average as Approaches for Modeling Energy Production in the Electricity Network by Seasons of the Electric Energy Company in Lomé, TogoApaloo Bara Komla Kpomonè et al.The work accumulated in this article presents the results of modeling the tduction of electrical energy for the CEET network in Lomé, Togo, taking into account the seasons of the area. The objective is to evaluate the forecasts over the periods in relation to the seasons of the year. Four seasons are detected, namely: Long dry season, long rainy season, … …American Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Vol. 17, Issue 4 · 20 Dec 2024 · 3,922 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsAssessing the Trend of Climate Change in the Western NepalPurna Bahadur Khand, Vikash Kumar KC, Ananta Raj Dhungana, Surya Mani DhunganaThis study assesses the change in the climatic variables in the western region of Nepal. Monthly data on minimum temperature, maximum temperature and rainfall for five stations, namely, Chame, Lumle, Khudibazar, Khairenitar and Dumkauli of Manang, Kaski, Lumjung, Tanahu and Nawalparasi districts respectively, obtained from the Department of Hydrology and Meteorology (DHM) of Nepal are considered. Data availability for these … …American Journal of Environmental Sciences, Vol. 16, Issue 6 · 22 Dec 2020 · 7,589 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsThe Impact of Climate Change Upon Winter RainfallNuman Shehadeh, Sabah AnanbehClimatic models that project the impact of climate change upon rainfall in the Eastern Mediterranean region predict that the negative impact will be more pronounced upon winter rainfall rather than Fall or Spring rainfall where instability conditions become more pronounced. Those models, also, predict that, due to the great geographical diversity, projected rainfall trends in the above region will show … …American Journal of Environmental Sciences, Vol. 9, Issue 1 · 24 Feb 2013 · 7,569 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsSuitability of Volatility Models for Forecasting Stock Market Returns: A Study on the Indian National Stock ExchangeTrilochan Tripathy, Luis A. Gil-AlanaProblem statement: Measuring volatility is an important issue for stock market traders. Also, volatility has been used as a proxy for riskiness associated with the asset. This study aims to compare the different volatility models based on how well they model the volatility of the India NSE. Approach: The study has made use of five models which are Historical/Rolling Window … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 7, Issue 11 · 8 Nov 2010 · 7,851 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsShould Individual Investors Use Technical Trading Rules to Attempt to Beat the Market?Thomas S. Coe, Kittipong LaosethakulProblem statement: Despite widespread academic acceptance of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis, some stock traders still use technical trading rules in an attempt to beat the market. Approach: This study looked at four trading rules, namely, the arithmetic moving average, the relative strength index, a stochastic oscillator and its moving average. These trading rules compare the relationship of current prices to … …American Journal of Economics and Business Administration, Vol. 2, Issue 3 · 30 Sep 2010 · 9,435 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsEstimation Techniques for Monitoring and Controlling the Performance of the Computer Communication NetworksIbrahiem M.M. El Emary, Adanan I. Al RabiaThis study was concerned with making a comparative study between four types of time series model with the goal of choosing the optimum one to predict the performance of a computer communication network. The investigated four types of time series are: Least Square (LS), Fourier series, Exponential Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) and the Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). Comparative … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 2, Issue 10 · 31 Oct 2005 · 7,126 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsApplication of Neuro-Fuzzy Techniques for Solar RadiationW. A. Rahoma, U. Ali Rahoma, A. H. HassanProblem statement: The prediction is very useful in solar energy applications because it permits to estimate solar data for locations where measurements are not available. The developed artificial intelligence models predict the solar radiation time series more effectively compared to the conventional procedures based on the clearness index. Approach: The forecasting ability of some models could be further enhanced with … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 7, Issue 10 · 11 Aug 2011 · 7,077 accessesView PDFCite