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161 articles for “forecasting”
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Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleWeather Forecasting Using Merged Long Short-Term Memory Model (LSTM) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) ModelAfan Galih Salman, Yaya Heryadi, Edi Abdurahman, Wayan SupartaWeather forecasting is an interesting research problem in flight navigation area. One of the important weather data in aviation is visibility. Visibility is an important factor in all phases of flight, especially when the aircraft is maneuvering on or close to the ground, i.e., during taxi-out, take-off and initial climb, approach and landing and taxi-in. The aim of these study … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 14, Issue 7 · 28 Jun 2018 · 11,422 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleElectrical Load Forecasting Using Artificial Neural Network: The Case Study of the Grid Inter-Connected Network of Benin Electricity Community (CEB)Adekunlé Akim Salami, Ayité Sénah Akoda Ajavon, Koffi A. Dotche, Koffi-Sa BedjaThe low rate of electrification seems challenging in many West African countries and many strategies are underway to improve upon. In this regard, the target of achieving the universal access and services calls for a stable and reliable electrical network. Forecasting of electrical load on a connected grid network is very delicate and requires tremendous task from the utilities (billing … …American Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Vol. 11, Issue 2 · 11 Apr 2018 · 9,143 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleUtilization of Holt's Forecasting Model for Zakat Collection in IndonesiaAkbarizan, Muhammad Marizal, M. Soleh et al.The practice of zakat is gaining popularity in Indonesia. This development is attributed to the strong role of the government in consistently developing zakat infrastructure and the increased awareness of people to practice zakat. Despite this success, a mechanism for predicting future zakat collection has not yet been developed. This study applies Holt's exponential smoothing and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 13, Issue 12 · 22 Dec 2016 · 7,499 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleHydrological Forecasting Using Hybrid Data-Driven ApproachYoungmin Seo, Sungwon KimThis study develops a hybrid model, EEMD-FANN, coupling feed Forward Artificial Neural Network (FANN) and Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) for improving the accuracy of daily river stage forecasting. An original river stage data is broken down into a residue and Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) using the EEMD and different FANNs are developed as forecasting models for the decomposed IMFs … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 13, Issue 8 · 2 Sep 2016 · 8,136 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleForecasting of Humidity of Some Selected Stations from the Northern Part of Bangladesh: An Application of SARIMA ModelMd. Moyazzem Hossain, Md. Atikur Rahman, Md. Zahirul Islam, Ajit Kumar MajumderCommunity risk from natural hazards and climate change depends largely on physical and climatic settings of an area, socio-economic condition of a community and the magnitude, duration and consecutiveness of the hazard or change itself. Impacts of climate change can be characterized by increasing temperatures, rainfall, humidity changes and climate related extreme events such as floods, cyclone, droughts, sea level … …American Journal of Environmental Sciences, Vol. 12, Issue 3 · 10 May 2016 · 8,618 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleAn Evolving Autoregressive Predictor for Time Series ForecastingDe Z. Li, Wilson Wang, Fathy IsmailAutoregressive (AR) model is a common predictor that has been extensively used for time series forecasting. Many training methods can used to update AR model parameters, for instance, least square estimate and maximum likelihood estimate; however, both techniques are sensitive to noisy samples and outliers. To deal with the problems, an evolving AR predictor, EAR, is developed in this study … …American Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Vol. 8, Issue 1 · 8 Apr 2015 · 6,965 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleDAILY CRUDE OIL PRICE FORECASTING MODEL USING ARIMA, GENERALIZED AUTOREGRESSIVE CONDITIONAL HETEROSCEDASTIC AND SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINESRana Abdullah Ahmed, Ani Bin ShabriCrude oil price forecasting is gaining increased interest globally. This interest is due mainly to the economic value attached to the product. For this reason, new forecasting methods are proposed in the literature. This paper proposes a novel technique for forecasting crude oil price based on Support Vector Machines (SVM). The study adopts the data on crude oil price of … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 11, Issue 3 · 11 Jan 2014 · 8,725 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleA NOVEL APPROACH BASED ON GENETIC FUZZY CLUSTERING AND ADAPTIVE NEURAL NETWORKS FOR SALES FORECASTINGAttariuas Hichama, Bouhorma Mohameda, El Fallahi AbdellahbThis article proposes a new hybrid sales forecasting system based on genetic fuzzy clustering and Back-Propagation (BP) Neural Networks with adaptive learning rate (GFCBPN).The proposed architecture consists of three stages: (1) utilizing Winter’s Exponential Smoothing method and Fuzzy C-Means clustering, all normalized data records will be categorized into k clusters; (2) using an adapted Genetic Fuzzy System (MCGFS), the fuzzy … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 9, Issue 8 · 2 Jul 2013 · 6,669 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleNew Car Demand Modeling and Forecasting Using Bass Diffusion ModelZuhaimy Ismail, Noratikah AbuForecasting model of new product demand has been developed and applied to forecast new vehicle demand in Malaysia. Since the publication of the Bass model in 1969, innovation of new diffusion theory has sparked considerable research among marketing science scholars, operational researchers and mathematicians. The building of Bass diffusion model for forecasting new product within the Malaysian society is presented … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 10, Issue 6 · 3 Jun 2013 · 7,332 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleA STUDY ON NEW PRODUCT DEMAND FORECASTING BASED ON BASS DIFFUSION MODELZuhaimy Ismail, Noratikah AbuA forecasting model of new product demand has been developed and applied to forecast new vehicle demand in Malaysia. Since the publication of the Bass model in 1969, innovation of new diffusion theory has sparked considerable research among marketing science scholars, operational researchers and mathematicians. This study considers the Bass Model for forecasting the diffusion of new products or an … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 9, Issue 2 · 29 Apr 2013 · 7,807 accessesView PDFCite