17 results for “GARCH”

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Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsModeling and Forecasting Volatility of the Malaysian Stock MarketsAhmed Shamiri, Zaidi IsaProblem statement: One of the main purposes of modeling variance is forecasting, which is crucial in many areas of finance. Despite the burgeoning interest in and evaluation of volatility forecasts, a clear consensus on witch volatility model/or distribution specification to use has not yet been reached. Therefore, the out of-sample forecasting ability should be a natural model selection criterion for … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 5, Issue 3 · 30 Sep 2009 · 7,900 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsThe Volatility and Asymmetry of Won/Dollar Exchange RateSeok Yoon, Ki Seong LeeThe study on volatility and asymmetry of the exchange rate by applied to the daily Won/Dollar exchange rate shows that past volatility of the exchange rate still has strong persistency at present and asymmetry effect and the leverage effect, which explain that volatility shock has an effect on the uncertainty of the exchange rate, are also existent after the free … …Journal of Social Sciences, Vol. 4, Issue 1 · 31 Mar 2008 · 8,567 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractA Hybrid Artificial Neural Network Model for Option PricingHanningtone Meshack Simiyu, Anthony Gichuhi Waititu, Jane Aduda AkinyiIn the absence of a well-defined input selection technique associated with the pure ANN models, Option pricing using pure ANN models while relaxing the assumption of constant volatility remains a challenge. The conservative drill espoused has been to make allowances for a large number of input lags with the confidence that the ability of ANN to integrate suppleness and redundancy … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 15, Issue 1 · 8 Aug 2019 · 7,410 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractRandom Forest Based Feature Selection of Macroeconomic Variables for Stock Market PredictionIsaac Kofi Nti, Adebayo Felix Adekoya, Benjamin Asubam WeyoriA firm’s equity price on the stock-market is reported to be closely related to the Macroeconomic Variable (MVs) of the country in which the firm trades. For this reason, researchers, market traders, financial analysts and forecasters to examine the association between MVs and stock-price have carried out numerous studies, using time-series statistical analysis methods like Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 16, Issue 7 · 31 Jul 2019 · 10,234 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractModeling the Error Term by Moving Average and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity ProcessesAyodele Abraham Agboluaje, Suzilah bt Ismail, Chee Yin YipThis study has been able to reveal that the Combine White Noise model outperforms the existing Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) and Moving Average (MA) models in modeling the errors, that exhibits conditional heteroscedasticity and leverage effect. MA process cannot model the data that reveals conditional heteroscedasticity and GARCH cannot model the leverage effect also. The standardized residuals of GARCH … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 12, Issue 11 · 20 Nov 2015 · 6,721 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractFORECASTING RETURNS FOR THE STOCK EXCHANGE OF THAILAND INDEX USING MULTIPLE REGRESSION BASED ON PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSISNop Sopipan, Anchalee Sattayatham, Samruam ChongcharoenThe aim of this study was to forecast the returns for the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) Index by adding some explanatory variables and stationary Autoregressive Moving-Average order p and q (ARMA (p, q)) in the mean equation of returns. In addition, we used Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to remove possible complications caused by multicollinearity. Afterwards, we forecast the volatility … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 9, Issue 1 · 18 Mar 2013 · 7,438 accessesView PDF Cite

Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractAre There Smaller Leverage Effects in Less-Developed Markets? Evidence from an Oil Exporting CountryMosayeb Phalavani, Parinaz EzzatiProblem statement: This study uses daily data from the Tehran Stock Market (TSM) to illustrate the nature of stock market volatility in an undeveloped and young stock market. Although most studies suggest that a negative shock to stock prices will generate more volatility than a positive shock of equal magnitude but there is no evidence of asymmetric effect in TSM. … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 7, Issue 1 · 31 Jan 2010 · 7,519 accessesView PDF Cite