Sign inSubmit
Tips: “quotes” for a phrase · author:Lee · a DOI goes straight to its article

218 results for “Forecast”
Set a search alert
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleParameters Estimate of Autoregressive Moving Average and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Models and Compare Their Ability for Inflow ForecastingMohammad Valipour, Mohammad Ebrahim Banihabib, Seyyed Mahmood Reza BehbahaniIn this study the ability of Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models in forecasting the monthly inflow of Dez dam reservoir located in Teleh Zang station in Dez dam upstream is estimated. ARIMA model has found a widespread application in many practical sciences. In addition, dam reservoir inflow forecasting is done by some methods such … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 8, Issue 3 · 30 Aug 2012 · 17,288 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleForecasting the Stock Exchange of Thailand uses Day of the Week Effect and Markov Regime Switching GARCHP. Sattayatham, N. Sopipan, B. PremanodeProblem statement: We forecast return and volatility of the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) Index. Approach: In this study, we modeled the SET Index returns using mean equation with day of the week effect and autoregressive moving-average. Next we forecast the volatility of the SET Index by using the GARCH-type model and the Markov Regime Switching GARCH (MRS-GARCH) model. Results: … …American Journal of Economics and Business Administration, Vol. 4, Issue 1 · 15 Mar 2012 · 7,865 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleFuzzy Time Series: An Application to Tourism Demand ForecastingMuhammad Hisyam Lee, Maria Elena Nor, Suhartono et al.Problem statement: Forecasting is very important in many types of organizations since predictions of future events must be incorporated into the decision-making process. In the case of tourism demand, better forecast would help directors and investors make operational, tactical and strategic decisions. Besides that, government bodies need accurate tourism demand forecasts to plan required tourism infrastructures, such as accommodation site … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 9, Issue 1 · 24 Nov 2011 · 8,474 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleForecasting Peak Load Electricity Demand Using Statistics and Rule Based ApproachZ. Ismail, A. Yahya, K. A. MahpolProblem statement: Forecasting of electricity load demand is an essential activity and an important function in power system planning and development. It is a prerequisite to power system expansion planning as the world of electricity is dominated by substantial lead times between decision making and its implementation. The importance of demand forecasting needs to be emphasized at all level as … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 6, Issue 8 · 31 Aug 2009 · 7,936 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleForecasting Gold Prices Using Multiple Linear Regression MethodZ. Ismail, A. Yahya, A. ShabriProblem statement: Forecasting is a function in management to assist decision making. It is also described as the process of estimation in unknown future situations. In a more general term it is commonly known as prediction which refers to estimation of time series or longitudinal type data. Gold is a precious yellow commodity once used as money. It was made … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 6, Issue 8 · 31 Aug 2009 · 11,091 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleElectricity Load Forecasting based on Framelet Neural Network TechniqueMohammed K. AbdLoad forecasting is very essential to the operation of electricity companies. It enhances the energy-efficient and reliable operation of a power system. This study shows Electricity Load Forecasting modeling based on Framelet Neural Network Technique (FNN) for Baghdad City. Framelet technique is implemented to the time series data, decomposing the data into number of Framelet coefficient signals. The decomposed signals … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 6, Issue 5 · 31 May 2009 · 8,274 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleShort-Term and Medium-Term Load Forecasting for Jordan's Power SystemI. Badran, H. El-Zayyat, G. HalasaSeveral electric power companies are now forecasting electric loads based on conventional methods. However, since the relationship between loads and factors influencing these loads is nonlinear, it is difficult to identify its nonlinearity by using conventional methods. Most of papers deal with 24-h-ahead load forecasting or next day peak load forecasting. These methods forecast the demand power by using forecasted … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 5, Issue 7 · 31 Jul 2008 · 7,081 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleA New Methodology for Neural Network Training Ensures Error Reduction in Time Series ForecastingPaola A. Sánchez-Sánchez, José Rafael García-GonzálezArtificial Neural Networks (ANN) consists of some components, such as architecture and learning algorithm. These components have a significant effect on the performance of the ANN, but finding good parameters is a difficult task to achieve. An important requirement for this task is to ensure the reduction of error when inputs and/or hidden neurons are added. In practice, it is … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 13, Issue 7 · 4 Jul 2017 · 7,171 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleHydrological Forecasting Using Hybrid Data-Driven ApproachYoungmin Seo, Sungwon KimThis study develops a hybrid model, EEMD-FANN, coupling feed Forward Artificial Neural Network (FANN) and Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) for improving the accuracy of daily river stage forecasting. An original river stage data is broken down into a residue and Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) using the EEMD and different FANNs are developed as forecasting models for the decomposed IMFs … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 13, Issue 8 · 2 Sep 2016 · 8,136 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessEvery word in the titleFORECASTING THE FINANCIAL RETURNS FOR USING MULTIPLE REGRESSION BASED ON PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSISNop SopipanThe aim of this study was to forecast the returns for the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) Index by adding some explanatory variables and stationary Autoregressive order p (AR (p)) in the mean equation of returns. In addition, we used Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to remove possible complications caused by multicollinearity. Results showed that the multiple regressions based on PCA, … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 9, Issue 1 · 17 Apr 2013 · 6,958 accessesView PDFCite