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25 results for “ARIMA forecasting”
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Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsTime Series Analysis Model for Rainfall Data in Jordan: Case Study for Using Time Series AnalysisP.E. Naill M. MomaniProblem statement: Time series analysis and forecasting has become a major tool in different applications in hydrology and environmental management fields. Among the most effective approaches for analyzing time series data is the model introduced by Box and Jenkins, ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average). Approach: In this study we used Box-Jenkins methodology to build ARIMA model for monthly rainfall data … …American Journal of Environmental Sciences, Vol. 5, Issue 5 · 31 Oct 2009 · 8,813 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsForecasting of Banana Production in BangladeshMd. Moyazzem Hossain, Faruq Abdulla, Ajit Kumar MajumderIn Bangladesh, banana is a very popular fruit and cultivated almost everywhere round the year. Rank of Bangladesh is 14 among the top 20 banana producing countries in the world. It is a commercial fruit, but in Bangladesh it is grown in limited area commercially. The demand of banana is increasing day by day in Bangladesh. Thus, this paper attempts … …American Journal of Agricultural and Biological Sciences, Vol. 11, Issue 2 · 16 Jun 2016 · 9,649 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractImplementing a Hybrid VMD–BiTCN–BiGRU Architecture With Intelligent Optimization for Agricultural Commodity Price Prognostication in Gujarat MarketsJignesh Hirapara, Ratnesh Kumar Namdeo, Ankit Kumar Dubey et al.In the agricultural sector, the prices of pulses require adequate forecasting to plan farming activities, store and market, and guide policy-making. However, the pulse price series is highly volatile, seasonal, nonstationary, and nonlinear, and thus conventional linear time series models are not necessarily very effective. In the suggested framework, the raw price data series is decomposed using Variational Mode Decomposition … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 22, Issue 7 · 1 Aug 2026 · 1,021 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractApplication of Time Series Modeling to Study River Water QualityMaryam Ghashghaie, Kaveh Ostad-Ali-Askari, Saeid Eslamian, Vijay P. SinghWater deficit problem originates from two factors: population increase and water pollution. However, studying and forecasting the quality of water are necessary to avoid serious problems in future through managerial works. In present study, using time series modeling, the quality of Madian Rood River is studied at Baraftab station using time series analysis. Nine parameters of water quality are studied … …American Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Vol. 11, Issue 2 · 25 Apr 2018 · 8,933 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting Bangladesh's Inflation through Econometric ModelsNazmul IslamThis research tries to sketch the concrete steps that help carry out to use ARIMA time series models for forecasting Bangladesh’s inflation. The focus, in this paper, is short-term basis annual inflation forecasting. For this purpose, different ARIMA models are used and the candid model is proposed. Based on the diagnostic and evaluation criteria, the most accurate model is selected. … …American Journal of Economics and Business Administration, Vol. 9, Issue 3 · 8 Nov 2017 · 9,195 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractPrediction on Land Market Value Based on the Real Estate Market in USALei WangThe Land Market Value, defined as the total value of land price and quantity data are derived from data on housing values, is an important factor in the estimation of structure costs using price indexes for housing and construction costs. In this study, we gather and analyze 34 years' national data on past and present real estate transaction. According to … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 13, Issue 2 · 23 May 2017 · 7,555 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractUtilization of Holt's Forecasting Model for Zakat Collection in IndonesiaAkbarizan, Muhammad Marizal, M. Soleh et al.The practice of zakat is gaining popularity in Indonesia. This development is attributed to the strong role of the government in consistently developing zakat infrastructure and the increased awareness of people to practice zakat. Despite this success, a mechanism for predicting future zakat collection has not yet been developed. This study applies Holt's exponential smoothing and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average … …American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 13, Issue 12 · 22 Dec 2016 · 7,499 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractForecasting of Humidity of Some Selected Stations from the Northern Part of Bangladesh: An Application of SARIMA ModelMd. Moyazzem Hossain, Md. Atikur Rahman, Md. Zahirul Islam, Ajit Kumar MajumderCommunity risk from natural hazards and climate change depends largely on physical and climatic settings of an area, socio-economic condition of a community and the magnitude, duration and consecutiveness of the hazard or change itself. Impacts of climate change can be characterized by increasing temperatures, rainfall, humidity changes and climate related extreme events such as floods, cyclone, droughts, sea level … …American Journal of Environmental Sciences, Vol. 12, Issue 3 · 10 May 2016 · 8,618 accessesView PDFCite
EditorialOpen accessIn the abstractData Mining in Time Series: Current Study and Future TrendTan Yan, Liudmila Ulanova, Ye Ouyang, Fengyuan XuTime series represent sequences of data points where usually their order is defined by the time when they were recorded. Thus, virtually any sequential recordings can be stored as time series: Stock prices, weather conditions, physical system parameters change, product quality monitoring, etc. This leads to ubiquity of time series in all scientific and practical fields (Esling and Agon, 2012); … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 10, Issue 12 · 26 Jan 2015 · 8,756 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the abstractParameters Estimate of Autoregressive Moving Average and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Models and Compare Their Ability for Inflow ForecastingMohammad Valipour, Mohammad Ebrahim Banihabib, Seyyed Mahmood Reza BehbahaniIn this study the ability of Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models in forecasting the monthly inflow of Dez dam reservoir located in Teleh Zang station in Dez dam upstream is estimated. ARIMA model has found a widespread application in many practical sciences. In addition, dam reservoir inflow forecasting is done by some methods such … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 8, Issue 3 · 30 Aug 2012 · 17,288 accessesView PDFCite