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41 articles for “ARIMA”
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Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsResidual Analysis for Auto-Correlated Econometric ModelHabib Ahmed ElsayirThe aim of this article is to provide residual analysis for a time series data of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the Sudan. An econometric time series model with macroeconomic variables is conducted to examine the goodness of fit using residual. Many statistical tests are used in time series models in order to make it a stationary series. After applying … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 15, Issue 1 · 1 Jun 2019 · 6,577 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsApplication of Time Series Modeling to Study River Water QualityMaryam Ghashghaie, Kaveh Ostad-Ali-Askari, Saeid Eslamian, Vijay P. SinghWater deficit problem originates from two factors: population increase and water pollution. However, studying and forecasting the quality of water are necessary to avoid serious problems in future through managerial works. In present study, using time series modeling, the quality of Madian Rood River is studied at Baraftab station using time series analysis. Nine parameters of water quality are studied … …American Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Vol. 11, Issue 2 · 25 Apr 2018 · 8,933 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsForecasting Bangladesh's Inflation through Econometric ModelsNazmul IslamThis research tries to sketch the concrete steps that help carry out to use ARIMA time series models for forecasting Bangladesh’s inflation. The focus, in this paper, is short-term basis annual inflation forecasting. For this purpose, different ARIMA models are used and the candid model is proposed. Based on the diagnostic and evaluation criteria, the most accurate model is selected. … …American Journal of Economics and Business Administration, Vol. 9, Issue 3 · 8 Nov 2017 · 9,195 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsForecasting of Banana Production in BangladeshMd. Moyazzem Hossain, Faruq Abdulla, Ajit Kumar MajumderIn Bangladesh, banana is a very popular fruit and cultivated almost everywhere round the year. Rank of Bangladesh is 14 among the top 20 banana producing countries in the world. It is a commercial fruit, but in Bangladesh it is grown in limited area commercially. The demand of banana is increasing day by day in Bangladesh. Thus, this paper attempts … …American Journal of Agricultural and Biological Sciences, Vol. 11, Issue 2 · 16 Jun 2016 · 9,649 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsJute Production in Bangladesh: A Time Series AnalysisMd. Moyazzem Hossain, Faruq AbdullaJute is called the Golden Fiber of Bangladesh. Bangladesh is currently the second largest producer of jute fiber. Bangladesh falls behind its other competitors in applying recent technological advancements. In terms of world export of jute fiber, Bangladesh’s share is more than 70%, which makes Bangladesh the largest exporter of jute fiber in the world. The global demand for jute … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 11, Issue 3 · 6 Dec 2015 · 10,393 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsModeling Tourist Arrivals Using Time Series Analysis: Evidence From AustraliaGurudeo AnandTularam, Victor Siew Howe Wong, Seyed AbdelhamidShobeiriNejadAustralian tourism has a logistic trend as Butler’s model shows. The stagnation has not been reached so opportunities exist to increase tourism. The logistic model predicts 7.2 million tourists in 2015 but time series models of ARIMA and VAR improve the prediction and explain the data. The ARIMA (2, 2, 2) fits well while the VAR lead to Granger causalities … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 8, Issue 3 · 10 Sep 2012 · 7,857 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsParameters Estimate of Autoregressive Moving Average and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Models and Compare Their Ability for Inflow ForecastingMohammad Valipour, Mohammad Ebrahim Banihabib, Seyyed Mahmood Reza BehbahaniIn this study the ability of Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models in forecasting the monthly inflow of Dez dam reservoir located in Teleh Zang station in Dez dam upstream is estimated. ARIMA model has found a widespread application in many practical sciences. In addition, dam reservoir inflow forecasting is done by some methods such … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 8, Issue 3 · 30 Aug 2012 · 17,288 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsAdaptive Linear Prediction Augmented Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Based Prediction for VBR Video TrafficT. Raghuveera, P. V.S. Kumar, K. S. EaswarakumarProblem statement: Network traffic prediction plays a vital role in the optimal resource allocation and management in computer networks. This study introduces an ARIMA based model augmented by Adaptive Linear Prediction (ALP) for the real time prediction of VBR video traffic. The synergy of the two can successfully address the challenges in traffic prediction such as accuracy in prediction, resource … …Journal of Computer Science, Vol. 7, Issue 6 · 14 Jun 2011 · 7,013 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsForecasting Daily Demand in Cash Supply ChainsMichael WagnerProblem statement: Previous studies focused on explaining the long run determinants of currency demand offering limited insight into the short-run determinants and co-variability of daily demand in cash supply chains. Approach: This study contrasted competing techniques of forecasting daily demand in cash supply chains in order to determine the overall performance and the potential of joint forecasting for integrated planning. … …American Journal of Economics and Business Administration, Vol. 2, Issue 4 · 28 Nov 2010 · 7,736 accessesView PDFCite
Research ArticleOpen accessIn the keywordsTime Series Analysis of Rainfall and Temperature Interactions in Coastal CatchmentsGurudeo Anand Tularam, Mahbub IlaheeProblem statement: As a result of climate change more work is now being done on climate indices such as SOI, rainfall, temperature and so on. The research concerning rainfall and temperature variations in coastal tropical and subtropical catchments as noted by the dated references in this study shows a lack of attention. The authors examined long term data from coastal … …Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 6, Issue 3 · 30 Sep 2010 · 15,823 accessesView PDFCite